Basketball
New Orleans PelicansPhoenix Suns

New Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Oct. 28

min read
 BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 28, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Suns are -7.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Friday, October 28, 2022 at 10:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSAZ & BSNO

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Pelicans vs Suns Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 3-1 against the spread, while the Suns are 2-2 against the spread.

Bet now on Suns vs Pelicans and all NBA games with BetMGM

Pelicans vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+7.5 -110O 225.5 -110230
Phoenix Suns -7.5 -110U 225.5 -110-275

Suns vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Suns will win Friday‘s game with 70.6% confidence.

Suns vs Pelicans Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.7% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pelicans and Suns, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 66 games (+19.76 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 54 games (+19.56 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 37 away games (+18.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 3Q Spread in 44 of their last 68 games (+17.84 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 64 games (+15.80 Units / 23% ROI)
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  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 4Q Spread in 58 of their last 86 games (+27.51 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 59 of their last 86 games (+22.02 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2H Moneyline in 65 of their last 95 games (+17.18 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 95 games (+14.60 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.76 Units / 27% ROI)
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    Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

    • 3-1 against the Moneyline (+0.7 Units / 8.64% ROI)
    • 4-0 against the Over for game total points (+4 Units / 90.91% ROI)
    • 0-4 against the Under for game total points (-4.4 Units / -100% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

    • 3-1 against the Moneyline (+0.9 Units / 14.4% ROI)
    • 1-2 against the Over for game total points (-1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI)
    • 2-1 against the Under for game total points (+0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 74 games (-24.45 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 43 games (-20.95 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 95 games (-17.65 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games at home (-15.89 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 95 games (-15.03 Units / -14% ROI)
    •
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 66 games (-27.43 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 75 games (-25.60 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 66 games (-22.30 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 71 games (-19.95 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 89 games (-19.13 Units / -19% ROI)
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    Jump to:

    New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

    The Pelicans were 2-17 (.105) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426

    The Pelicans were 5-17 (.227) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .321

    The Pelicans were 6-34 (.150) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .293

    The Pelicans are 26-49 (.347) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

    Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

    The Suns were 21-2 (.913) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

    The Suns are 35-7 (.833) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

    The Suns were 26-9 (.743) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

    The Suns are 61-12 (.836) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

    Injury Report: Suns vs. Pelicans – Friday‘s Game, Oct. 28

  • Ish Wainright (Suns): Wainright did not play in Tuesday’s (Oct. 25) game against Golden State.
    •
  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that E.J. Liddell tore his right ACL and will miss most of the season.
  • Kira Lewis Jr. (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Lewis Jr. suffered a torn ACL and a grade 2 MCL sprain.
  • Zion Williamson (Pelicans): Williamson is questionable for Friday’s (Oct. 28) game against Phoenix.
  • Brandon Ingram (Pelicans): Ingram is out for the team’s upcoming three-game road trip.
  • Herbert Jones (Pelicans): Jones is questionable for Friday’s (Oct. 28) game against Phoenix.
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    New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Pelicans shot 32% from three (427/1,345) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

    The Pelicans have 24.5 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

    The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (1,918 free throw attempts/6,769 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%

    The Pelicans made 10.6 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

    Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Suns had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (278 assists/ 112 TOs) in close and late situations last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

    The Suns had a TS% of 54% in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

    The Suns shot 42% from three (127/304) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

    The Suns shot 52% (447/854) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 45%

    New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Pelicans averaged 33.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,721 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Pelicans averaged 4.0 blocks per game (327 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (678 steals/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Pelicans have 1,223 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th most among NBA teams

    Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Suns stole the ball 702 times last season — 5th most among NBA teams

    The Suns averaged 8.6 steals per game (702 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Suns averaged 4.4 blocks per game (360 blocks/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Suns averaged 35.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,913 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

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