New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 23, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder (14-18) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans (18-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Friday, December 23, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSOK & BSNO

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Pelicans vs Thunder Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 16-15 against the spread, while the Thunder are 20-12 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+2.5 -110O 230.5 -110+115
Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5 -110U 230.5 -110-140

Thunder vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Friday‘s game with 54.0% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pelicans and Thunder, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 57 of their last 89 games (+21.33 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 42 away games (+18.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 39 away games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 63 games (+13.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 81 games (+11.23 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 34 of their last 58 games (+28.68 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 66 games (+19.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 47 of their last 80 games (+14.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 58 games (+12.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 71 games (+11.48 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 16-15 (-0.5 Units / -1.47% ROI).

  • 19-12 against the Moneyline (+0.7 Units / 1.07% ROI)
  • 18-13 against the Over for game total points (+3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI)
  • 13-18 against the Under for game total points (-6.8 Units / -19.94% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 20-12 (+6.85 Units / 19.49% ROI).

  • 14-18 against the Moneyline (+7.8 Units / 22.45% ROI)
  • 17-14 against the Over for game total points (+1.6 Units / 4.55% ROI)
  • 14-17 against the Under for game total points (-4.7 Units / -13.35% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 82 games (-37.35 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 75 games (-21.20 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 75 games (-21.19 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 81 games (-21.17 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 79 games (-20.25 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 89 games (-32.12 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 89 games (-24.40 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 89 games (-24.20 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 89 games (-18.58 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 88 games (-17.95 Units / -16% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Pelicans are 6-14 (.300) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

The Pelicans are 11-22 (.333) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Pelicans are 29-53 (.354) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432

The Pelicans are 18-36 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 11-47 (.190) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Boston Celtics have averaged 45.1 rebounds per game (4,280 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-highest among NBA teams.

The Thunder are winless (0-31) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .141

The Thunder are 17-34 (.333) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Thunder are 6-15 (.286) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

Injury Report: Thunder vs. PelicansFriday‘s Game, Dec. 23

  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren will miss the 2022-23 season with Lisfranc injury to his right foot, according to Adrian Wojnarowsk of ESPN.
  • Ousmane Dieng (Thunder): Dieng suffered a fracture in his right wrist during Wednesday’s (Dec 14) Oklahoma City Blue game and will be re-evaluated in six weeks, Brandon Rahbar of DailyThunder.com reports.
  • Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (Thunder): Robinson-Earl is OUT for Friday’s (Dec 23) game against New Orleans.
  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that E.J. Liddell tore his right ACL and will miss most of the season.
  • Zion Williamson (Pelicans): The Pelicans has listed Williamson as out for Thursday’s (Dec. 22) game against San Antonio.
  • Larry Nance Jr. (Pelicans): Nance Jr. is OUT for Thursday’s (Dec. 22) game against San Antonio.
  • Brandon Ingram (Pelicans): Ingram will be out at least another week, according to Will Guillory of The Athletic.

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 24.5 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.9

The Pelicans have averaged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,987 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

The Pelicans have made 10.2 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.1

The Pelicans are shooting 32% from three (496/1,534) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (2,000/6,055) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (8,637 points/7,246 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Thunder have an eFG% of 50% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Thunder have averaged 1.17 points per shot (8,646 points/7,398 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.25

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,149 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (111 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (417 steals/49 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (789 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.2 steals per game (119 steals/13 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Thunder have averaged 7.8 steals per game (742 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Thunder have blocked 81 shots this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Thunder have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (81 blocks/13 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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