Pelicans vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 13, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder (27-28) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans (29-28)
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Monday, February 13, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSOK & BSNO

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Pelicans vs Thunder Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 27-29 against the spread, while the Thunder are 35-20 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+2.5 -110O 235.5 -110+120
Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5 -110U 235.5 -110-145

Thunder vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Monday‘s game with 55.6% confidence.

Thunder vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 54.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pelicans and Thunder, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 49 games (+17.22 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 43 away games (+16.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 39 away games (+10.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 2Q Spread in 29 of their last 47 games (+9.71 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 81 games (+35.46 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 81 games (+25.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 37 games at home (+19.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 81 games (+17.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 44 of their last 69 games (+16.60 Units / 22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 27-29 (-4.9 Units / -7.82% ROI).

  • 29-28 against the Moneyline (-6.7 Units / -6.84% ROI)
  • 32-25 against the Over for game total points (+4.5 Units / 7.18% ROI)
  • 25-32 against the Under for game total points (-10.2 Units / -16.27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 35-20 (+13.1 Units / 21.67% ROI).

  • 27-28 against the Moneyline (+18.2 Units / 27.53% ROI)
  • 32-22 against the Over for game total points (+7.8 Units / 12.89% ROI)
  • 22-32 against the Under for game total points (-13.2 Units / -21.82% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 81 games (-30.50 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 81 games (-25.00 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 81 games (-21.50 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 81 games (-19.79 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-19.65 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 91 games (-24.01 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 51 games (-23.81 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 91 games (-18.15 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 20 of their last 48 games (-16.62 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 48 games (-15.93 Units / -26% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Pelicans are 12-29 (.293) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .428

The Pelicans are 30-38 (.441) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .536

The Pelicans are 19-8 (.704) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Pelicans are 4-16 (.200) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .333

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Thunder are 1-36 (.027) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .154

The Thunder are 1-21 (.045) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .156

The Thunder are 15-23 (.395) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Thunder are 22-13 (.629) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

Injury Report: Thunder vs. PelicansMonday‘s Game, Feb. 13

  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren will miss the 2022-23 season with Lisfranc injury to his right foot, according to Adrian Wojnarowsk of ESPN.
  • Aleksej Pokusevski (Thunder): Thunder announced Pokusevski suffered a non-displaced tibial plateau fracture in his left leg and will be reevaluated in 6-8 weeks.
  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that E.J. Liddell tore his right ACL and will miss most of the season.
  • CJ McCollum (Pelicans): McCollum is questionable for Monday’s (Feb. 13) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Zion Williamson (Pelicans): Williamson suffered a setback and will be sidelined several more weeks, according to Christian Clark of NOLA.com.
  • Dyson Daniels (Pelicans): Pelicans coach Willie Green said that Daniels will be out for a little bit of time, according to Erin Summers of Bally Sports New Orleans.

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 24.8 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.3

The Pelicans have made 10.1 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2

The Pelicans have made 10.7 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Pelicans averaged 114.6 points per game (8,251 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (4,715 assists/ 2,890 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Thunder have averaged 1.18 points per shot (10,921 points/9,236 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Thunder have averaged 1.20 points per shot (22,282 points/18,565 shots) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Thunder have averaged 1.20 points per shot (14,722 points/12,227 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (470 steals/55 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have averaged 8.4 steals per game (1,150 steals/137 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (876 blocks/209 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pelicans have 470 steals this season — 2nd most among NBA teams

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (266 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Thunder have averaged 7.8 steals per game (1,057 steals/135 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Thunder have averaged 8.2 steals per game (435 steals/53 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have 435 steals this season — 8th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.