Pelicans vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 01, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Trail Blazers (29-32) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans (30-32)
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Wednesday, March 1, 2023 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW & BSNO

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Moda Center to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Portland.

The Trail Blazers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Pelicans vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 28-33 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 31-30 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+1.5 -110O 232.5 -110+100
Portland Trail Blazers -1.5 -110U 232.5 -110-120

Trail Blazers vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Trail Blazers will win Wednesday‘s game with 54.3% confidence.

Trail Blazers vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.6% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pelicans and Trail Blazers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 54 games (+18.09 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 22 games (+15.81 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 41 away games (+14.64 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.65 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 81 games (+12.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 23 games at home (+12.13 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+9.73 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 82 games (+9.37 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 3Q Spread in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.50 Units / 34% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 28-33 (-8.3 Units / -12.18% ROI).

  • 30-32 against the Moneyline (-10.5 Units / -10.1% ROI)
  • 33-29 against the Over for game total points (+1.1 Units / 1.61% ROI)
  • 29-33 against the Under for game total points (-7.3 Units / -10.7% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 31-30 (-2 Units / -2.98% ROI).

  • 29-32 against the Moneyline (+1.2 Units / 1.28% ROI)
  • 30-30 against the Over for game total points (-3 Units / -4.47% ROI)
  • 30-30 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units / -4.47% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 29 of their last 82 games (-24.66 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 82 games (-20.28 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 82 games (-19.22 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 75 games (-19.22 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 82 games (-18.04 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 56 games (-25.27 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-20.12 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 21 of their last 53 games (-19.94 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 53 games (-19.27 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-19.00 Units / -21% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Pelicans are 9-15 (.375) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .471

The Pelicans are 2-18 (.100) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .145

The Pelicans are 12-29 (.293) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .429

The Pelicans are 27-49 (.355) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Trail Blazers are 17-49 (.258) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Trail Blazers are 9-23 (.273) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .389

The Trail Blazers are 9-18 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .471

The Trail Blazers are 9-49 (.155) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .221

Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. PelicansWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 1

  • Jusuf Nurkic (Trail Blazers): Nurkic is expected to return after the All-Star break, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Justise Winslow (Trail Blazers): Winslow has not played since Dec. 21. No timetable has been announced for his return to action.
  • Anfernee Simons (Trail Blazers): Simons remains without a timetable for a return, according to Sean Highkin of RoseGardenReport.com.
  • Ibou Badji (Trail Blazers): Badji has yet to appear in a game this season and a timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.
  • Ryan Arcidiacono (Trail Blazers): Arcidiacono did not play in Tuesday’s (Feb 28 ) game against Golden State.
  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): Liddell is doing some light shooting and is making progress from a torn right ACL, according to Cody Taylor of The USA Today. He’s expected to miss most of the season.
  • Josh Richardson (Pelicans): Richardson is questionable for Wednesday’s (Mar 1) game against Portland.
  • Larry Nance Jr. (Pelicans): Nance Jr. is OUT for Wednesday’s (Mar 1) game against Portland.
  • Jonas Valanciunas (Pelicans): Valanciunas is questionable for Wednesday’s (Mar 1) game against Portland.
  • Zion Williamson (Pelicans): Williamson suffered a setback and will be sidelined several more weeks, according to Christian Clark of NOLA.com.
  • Jose Alvarado (Pelicans): Alvarado will be re-evaluated in three weeks after being diagnosed with a stress reaction in his right tibia, per Rotowire.

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have made 10.7 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Pelicans have made 10.9 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Pelicans averaged 114.6 points per game (8,251 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Pelicans have made 10.1 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,511 assists/ 951 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (2,243 assists/ 1,339 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Trail Blazers have averaged 106.2 points per game (7,328 points/69 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.0

The Trail Blazers are shooting 37% from three (705/1,890) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (878 blocks/210 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (478 steals/56 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (563 blocks/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pelicans have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (275 blocks/68 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,755 rebounds/55 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,416 rebounds/137 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Trail Blazers have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (268 blocks/69 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (6,855 rebounds/209 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.