Pelicans vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 27, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Pelicans (37-37) are -11.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers (32-42)
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Monday, March 27, 2023 at 10:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW+ & BSNO

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Moda Center to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Portland.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Pelicans vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 35-38 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 36-38 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans-11.5 -110O 226.5 -110-650
Portland Trail Blazers +11.5 -110U 226.5 -110+450

Trail Blazers vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Monday‘s game with 72.6% confidence.

Trail Blazers vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 60.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pelicans and Trail Blazers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 66 games (+23.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 34 games (+19.02 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 34 games (+15.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 46 away games (+15.44 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 32 games (+14.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 29 games at home (+16.07 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.02 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+7.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 35-38 (-6.8 Units / -8.36% ROI).

  • 37-37 against the Moneyline (-8.95 Units / -6.9% ROI)
  • 36-38 against the Over for game total points (-5.8 Units / -7.13% ROI)
  • 38-36 against the Under for game total points (-1.6 Units / -1.97% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 36-38 (-5.8 Units / -7.13% ROI).

  • 32-42 against the Moneyline (-5.3 Units / -4.91% ROI)
  • 37-36 against the Over for game total points (-2.6 Units / -3.19% ROI)
  • 36-37 against the Under for game total points (-4.7 Units / -5.77% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 21 of their last 60 games (-23.04 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-21.57 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 60 games (-20.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 57 games (-16.98 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 61 games (-16.26 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 68 games (-32.63 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 42 games (-23.15 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 27 of their last 65 games (-21.18 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 46 away games (-20.80 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 42 games (-20.30 Units / -42% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The New Orleans Pelicans are 8-20 (.286) when losing the rebounding margin this season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Los Angeles Lakers have averaged 54.0 rebounds per game (3,670 rebounds/68 games) this season — fifth-highest among NBA teams.

The New Orleans Pelicans are 18-40 (.310) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Los Angeles Lakers have averaged 53.3 rebounds per game (7,990 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Pelicans are 11-20 (.355) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .469

The Pelicans are 8-20 (.286) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Portland Trail Blazers are 20-57 (.260) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for sixth-worst among NBA teams. The New York Knicks have averaged 55.6 rebounds per game (8,451 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-highest among NBA teams.

The Portland Trail Blazers are 30-57 (.345) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The New York Knicks have averaged 13.1 turnovers per game (1,988 turnovers/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fifth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Portland Trail Blazers are 10-34 (.227) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for eighth-worst among NBA teams. The New York Knicks made 12.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-highest among NBA teams.

The Trail Blazers are 19-53 (.264) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. PelicansMonday‘s Game, Mar. 27

  • Justise Winslow (Trail Blazers): Winslow has not played since Dec. 21. No timetable has been announced for his return to action.
  • Ibou Badji (Trail Blazers): The Trail Blazers announced that Badji will have surgery on his left knee and is expected to miss eight weeks.
  • Jerami Grant (Trail Blazers): Grant did not play in Sunday’s (Mar. 26) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Damian Lillard (Trail Blazers): Lillard did not play in Sunday’s (Mar. 26) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Jusuf Nurkic (Trail Blazers): Nurkic did not play in Sunday’s (Mar. 26) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Anfernee Simons (Trail Blazers): Simons did not play in Sunday’s (Mar. 26) game against Oklahoma City.
  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): Liddell is doing some light shooting and is making progress from a torn right ACL, according to Cody Taylor of The USA Today. He’s expected to miss most of the season.
  • Zion Williamson (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Williamson will be re-evaluated in two weeks.
  • Jose Alvarado (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Alvarado will be re-evaluated in 2-3 weeks.

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 24.7 free throw attempts per game this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (2,771 free throw attempts/9,804 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The Pelicans have averaged 14.7 second chance points per game (2,200 points/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (5,462 free throw attempts/19,581 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,662 assists/ 1,108 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Trail Blazers have averaged 20.9 points in the paint per game (4,644 points/222 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.2

The Trail Blazers shot 39% from three (1,131/2,936) in the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Trail Blazers have averaged 106.7 points per game (8,214 points/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.2

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (1,252 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans have 572 steals this season — tied for 3rd most among NBA teams

The Pelicans have averaged 8.4 steals per game (572 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (610 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,109 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,288 rebounds/68 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (491 blocks/113 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Trail Blazers have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (7,685 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0


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