Pelicans vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 28, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Warriors (39-37) are -8.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans (37-37)
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Tuesday, March 28, 2023 at 10:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BA & TNT

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Pelicans vs Warriors Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 36-38 against the spread, while the Warriors are 35-40 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+8.5 -110O 234.5 -110+275
Golden State Warriors -8.5 -110U 234.5 -110-350

Warriors vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Tuesday‘s game with 71.9% confidence.

Warriors vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pelicans and Warriors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 67 games (+24.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 35 games (+17.91 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 47 away games (+14.24 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 33 games (+13.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+17.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+15.94 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 29 of their last 43 games (+13.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 50 games at home (+12.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 81 games (+12.62 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 36-38 (-5.8 Units / -7.03% ROI).

  • 38-37 against the Moneyline (-7.95 Units / -5.85% ROI)
  • 36-39 against the Over for game total points (-6.9 Units / -8.36% ROI)
  • 39-36 against the Under for game total points (-0.6 Units / -0.73% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 35-40 (-9 Units / -10.77% ROI).

  • 39-37 against the Moneyline (-27.5 Units / -16.37% ROI)
  • 41-33 against the Over for game total points (+4.7 Units / 5.62% ROI)
  • 33-41 against the Under for game total points (-12.1 Units / -14.47% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 36 of their last 83 games (-27.14 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 94 games (-24.25 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 70 games (-23.33 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 41 of their last 100 games (-23.15 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 50 games at home (-22.74 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 69 games (-33.91 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 43 games (-22.15 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 71 games (-20.30 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 28 of their last 66 games (-20.18 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 47 away games (-19.80 Units / -37% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The New Orleans Pelicans are 8-20 (.286) when losing the rebounding margin this season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Los Angeles Lakers have averaged 54.0 rebounds per game (3,670 rebounds/68 games) this season — fifth-highest among NBA teams.

The New Orleans Pelicans are 18-40 (.310) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Los Angeles Lakers have averaged 53.3 rebounds per game (7,990 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Pelicans are 11-20 (.355) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .469

The Pelicans are 8-20 (.286) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Golden State Warriors are 58-20 (.744) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-best among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks have averaged 51.0 rebounds per game (7,694 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Warriors are 43-25 (.632) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Warriors are 2-21 (.087) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .167

The Warriors are 72-51 (.585) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .488

Injury Report: Warriors vs. PelicansTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 28

  • Jordan Poole (Warriors): Poole is probable for Tuesday’s (Mar 28) game against New Orleans.
  • Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins remains without a timetable to return to the Warriors, according to Anthony Slater of The Athletic.
  • Ryan Rollins (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Rollins has a Jones fracture in his right foot and will undergo surgery.
  • Draymond Green (Warriors): Green is probable for Tuesday’s (Mar 28) game against New Orleans.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Iguodala will undergo surgery next week for a fractured left wrist.
  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): Liddell is doing some light shooting and is making progress from a torn right ACL, according to Cody Taylor of The USA Today. He’s expected to miss most of the season.
  • Zion Williamson (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Williamson will be re-evaluated in two weeks.
  • Jose Alvarado (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Alvarado will be re-evaluated in 2-3 weeks.

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 24.7 free throw attempts per game this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (2,771 free throw attempts/9,804 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The Pelicans have averaged 14.7 second chance points per game (2,200 points/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (5,462 free throw attempts/19,581 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 29.6 assists per game (2,072 assists/70 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1

The Warriors have made 16.7 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors have averaged 30.7 assists per game (1,104 assists/36 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.5

The Warriors have 19.9 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (1,252 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans have 572 steals this season — tied for 3rd most among NBA teams

The Pelicans have averaged 8.4 steals per game (572 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (610 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,548 rebounds/70 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (970 blocks/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (634 blocks/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors have averaged 8.0 steals per game (1,798 steals/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.