- The Warriors (33-30) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans (31-32)
- Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
- Friday, March 3, 2023 at 10:00pm EST
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA & BSNO
The New Orleans Pelicans visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Pelicans vs Warriors Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 29-33 against the spread, while the Warriors are 30-32 against the spread.
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Pelicans vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
New Orleans Pelicans | +4.5 -110 | O 231.5 -110 | +160 |
Golden State Warriors | -4.5 -110 | U 231.5 -110 | -190 |
Warriors vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Friday‘s game with 58.8% confidence.
Warriors vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pelicans and Warriors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 55 games (+19.09 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 23 games (+16.81 Units / 62% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 42 away games (+15.64 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 44 away games (+13.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 23 games (+12.65 Units / 51% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 33 of their last 48 games at home (+17.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+14.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 68 games (+14.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 48 games at home (+13.81 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 47 games at home (+13.35 Units / 10% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 29-33 (-7.3 Units / -10.54% ROI).
- 31-32 against the Moneyline (-9.2 Units / -8.76% ROI)
- 33-30 against the Over for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
- 30-33 against the Under for game total points (-6.3 Units / -9.09% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 30-32 (-5.2 Units / -7.5% ROI).
- 33-30 against the Moneyline (-22.95 Units / -16.11% ROI)
- 35-27 against the Over for game total points (+5.3 Units / 7.65% ROI)
- 27-35 against the Under for game total points (-11.5 Units / -16.59% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 100 games (-26.96 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 98 games (-21.70 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games at home (-20.96 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 69 games (-20.25 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 42 of their last 99 games (-19.80 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 57 games (-26.45 Units / -41% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-21.20 Units / -24% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 84 games (-20.10 Units / -22% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 90 games (-19.45 Units / -17% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 82 games (-19.42 Units / -21% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for New Orleans Pelicans vs. Golden State Warriors
- New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The New Orleans Pelicans are 7-30 (.189) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors made 15.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among NBA teams.
The New Orleans Pelicans are 4-19 (.174) when losing the rebounding margin this season — fourth-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors have averaged 44.6 rebounds per game (2,676 rebounds/60 games) this season — ninth-highest among NBA teams.
The New Orleans Pelicans are 10-40 (.200) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fifth-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors have averaged 45.1 rebounds per game (6,406 rebounds/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.
The Pelicans are 7-30 (.189) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .307
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Warriors are 1-17 (.056) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .247
The Warriors are 37-20 (.649) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
The Warriors are 4-26 (.133) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .221
The Warriors are 9-28 (.243) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .273
Injury Report: Warriors vs. Pelicans – Friday‘s Game, Mar. 3
- Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins remains without a timetable to return to the Warriors, according to Anthony Slater of The Athletic.
- Ryan Rollins (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Rollins has a Jones fracture in his right foot and will undergo surgery.
- Gary Payton II (Warriors): Warriors GM Bob Myers said Payton II will be re-evaluated in a month.
- Stephen Curry (Warriors): Curry is expected to return sometime on next week’s three-game road trip, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
- Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala has only played in three games this season and hasn’t played since Jan. 13. It’s unclear when he’ll return to the lineup.
- E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): Liddell is doing some light shooting and is making progress from a torn right ACL, according to Cody Taylor of The USA Today. He’s expected to miss most of the season.
- Larry Nance Jr. (Pelicans): The Pelicans have listed Nance Jr. as OUT for Friday’s game (Mar. 3) against the Warriors.
- Jonas Valanciunas (Pelicans): Valanciunas is doubtful for Friday’s (Mar.3) game against Golden State.
- Zion Williamson (Pelicans): Williamson suffered a setback and will be sidelined several more weeks, according to Christian Clark of NOLA.com.
- Jose Alvarado (Pelicans): Alvarado will be re-evaluated in three weeks after being diagnosed with a stress reaction in his right tibia, per Rotowire.
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 14.9 fast break points per game (895 points/60 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (2,688 free throw attempts/9,484 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%
The Pelicans have averaged 14.8 second chance points per game (887 points/60 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7
The Pelicans have averaged 25.4 points in the paint per game (5,436 points/214 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.2
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have 20.2 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7
The Warriors have averaged 14.2 assists per game (849 assists/60 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.9
The Warriors have averaged 30.5 assists per game (944 assists/31 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4
The Warriors have made 16.6 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (886 blocks/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Pelicans have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (430 blocks/107 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Pelicans have averaged 8.6 steals per game (513 steals/60 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Pelicans have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/60 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,063 rebounds/60 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1
The Warriors have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,993 rebounds/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7
The Warriors have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,724 steals/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Warriors have 1,143 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th most among NBA teams
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