Pistons vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Cavaliers (39-26) are -15.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (15-48)
  • Total (Over/Under): 217.5 points
  • Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSOH & BSDET

The Detroit Pistons visit Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Cleveland.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-105).

The Pistons vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 28-32 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 33-28 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+16.5 -115O 217.5 -115+900
Cleveland Cavaliers -16.5 -105U 217.5 -115-1600

Cavaliers vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Saturday‘s game with 77.7% confidence.

Cavaliers vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 62.5% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pistons and Cavaliers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 74 games (+20.27 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 81 games (+16.26 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 74 games (+15.08 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 49 of their last 81 games (+13.48 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 40 away games (+8.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 64 games (+17.52 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 63 games (+15.58 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 51 games (+13.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 33 games at home (+12.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+9.22 Units / 33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 28-32 (-7.25 Units / -10.46% ROI).

  • 15-48 against the Moneyline (-16.1 Units / -24.27% ROI)
  • 33-30 against the Over for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
  • 30-33 against the Under for game total points (-6.3 Units / -9.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 33-28 (+2.15 Units / 3% ROI).

  • 39-26 against the Moneyline (+0.25 Units / 0.17% ROI)
  • 31-34 against the Over for game total points (-6.4 Units / -8.95% ROI)
  • 34-31 against the Under for game total points (-0.1 Units / -0.14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 76 games (-26.17 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 75 games (-25.32 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 67 games (-24.18 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 75 games (-22.20 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 71 games (-19.45 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 80 games (-30.93 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 82 games (-23.98 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 81 games (-23.86 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 80 games (-22.85 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 77 games (-21.90 Units / -26% ROI)

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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Pistons are 4-32 (.111) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .433

The Pistons are 11-60 (.155) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

The Pistons are 23-82 (.219) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

The Pistons are 2-37 (.051) when losing the rebounding margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .326

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Cleveland Cavaliers are 28-7 (.800) when winning the rebounding margin this season — fifth-best among NBA teams. The Detroit Pistons have averaged 42.5 rebounds per game (2,676 rebounds/63 games) this season — 10th-lowest among NBA teams.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are 50-26 (.658) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-best among NBA teams. The Detroit Pistons have averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (2,002 turnovers/145 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for seventh-highest among NBA teams.

The Cavaliers are 38-37 (.507) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Cavaliers are 13-45 (.224) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .322

Injury Report: Cavaliers vs. PistonsSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 4

  • Cleveland Cavaliers – No Injuries Reported
  • Isaiah Stewart (Pistons): The Pistons have listed Stewart as OUT for Saturday’s game (Mar. 4) against the Cavs.
  • R.J. Hampton (Pistons): The Pistons have listed Hampton as PROBABLE for Saturday’s game (Mar. 4) against the Cavs.
  • Isaiah Livers (Pistons): The Pistons have listed Livers as PROBABLE for Saturday’s game (Mar. 4) against the Cavs.
  • Jalen Duren (Pistons): The Pistons have listed Duren as OUT for Saturday’s game (Mar. 4) against the Cavs.
  • Cade Cunningham (Pistons): Cunningham had season-ending surgery on his shin. He plans on on being ready for next season, according to James Edwards III of The Athletic.
  • Alec Burks (Pistons): The Pistons have listed Burks as OUT for Saturday’s game (Mar. 4) against the Cavs.
  • Bojan Bogdanovic (Pistons): The Pistons have listed Bogdanovic as OUT for Saturday’s game (Mar. 4) against the Cavs.

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons are shooting 44% (2,817/6,341) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (717 assists/ 477 TOs) in the first half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Pistons have an eFG% of 51% at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pistons have a TS% of 48% in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 102.5 points per game (7,379 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Cavaliers shot 34% from three (714/2,125) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Cavaliers have averaged 52.1 points per game (11,349 points/218 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.9

The Cavaliers have averaged 107.3 points per game (23,494 points/219 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.1

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,972 rebounds/217 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Pistons have averaged 31.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,615 rebounds/145 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.6

The Pistons have averaged 31.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,990 rebounds/63 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Pistons have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (237 blocks/63 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (285 blocks/65 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Cavaliers have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,084 rebounds/65 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Cavaliers have averaged 6.8 steals per game (499 steals/73 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (628 blocks/147 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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