Pistons vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 11

• The Cavaliers are -3.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
• Total (Over/Under): 213.5 points
• Watch the game on PEAC | NBC

The Detroit Pistons visit Rocket Arena to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Cleveland, OH.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Pistons vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 213.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 49-43 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 36-54 against the spread.

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Pistons vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cavaliers vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Cavaliers.

Cavaliers vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.75 Units / 64% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games (+11.42 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.50 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 away games (+8.75 Units / 10% ROI)

Cavaliers Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 33 of their last 45 games at home (+16.95 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games (+13.50 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 games (+13.35 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 45 games at home (+12.30 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.40 Units / 18% ROI)

Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 49-43 (+1.75 Units / 1.73% ROI).

• 66-26 against the Moneyline (+12 Units / 3.75% ROI)
• 43-48 against the Over for game total points (-9.8 Units / -9.68% ROI)
• 48-43 against the Under for game total points (+0.7 Units / 0.69% ROI)

Cleveland Cavaliers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 36-54 (-23.4 Units / -23.12% ROI).

• 57-35 against the Moneyline (-17.95 Units / -5.64% ROI)
• 46-46 against the Over for game total points (-4.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)
• 46-46 against the Under for game total points (-4.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Cavaliers:

• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games at home (-34.85 Units / -27% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-33.10 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games at home (-20.90 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 45 games at home (-19.75 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.15 Units / -33% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:

• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.55 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 35 away games (-14.70 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 35 away games (-13.05 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 24 games (-12.48 Units / -45% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.35 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Detroit Pistons
• Keys to Winning for the Cleveland Cavaliers
• Player Injuries for Detroit Pistons vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
• Detroit Pistons Offensive stats
• Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive stats
• Detroit Pistons Defensive stats
• Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive stats

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Pistons are 5-1 (.833) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Pistons are 30-10 (.750) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Pistons are 27-4 (.871) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .723

The Pistons are 40-8 (.833) when they win the turnover margin this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Cavaliers are 9-4 (.692) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .601

The Cavaliers are 21-12 (.636) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534

The Cavaliers are 24-11 (.686) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Cavaliers are 51-26 (.662) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 30.8 points in the paint per game (2,498 points/81 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Pistons have averaged 58.6 points in the paint per game (2,342 points/40 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9

The Pistons have averaged 117.9 points per game (9,552 points/81 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

The Pistons are shooting 49% (3,524/7,255) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 60.8 points per game (9,969 points/164 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.7

The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Cavaliers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (2,321 assists/ 1,147 TOs) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Cavaliers have a TS% of 53% this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (517 blocks/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pistons have averaged 10.4 steals per game (842 steals/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pistons have blocked 517 shots this season — most among NBA teams

The Pistons have 842 steals this season — most among NBA teams

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (5,870 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Cavaliers have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (1,163/3,127) this season — tied for 4th highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Cavaliers have allowed 23.3 points in the paint per game (1,910 points/82 games) in the second half this season — 7th best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 24.4

The Cavaliers have allowed 13.7 second chance points per game (563 points/41 games) at home this season — 6th best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.1

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