Pistons vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 15

• The Cavaliers are -4.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
• Total (Over/Under): 210.5 points
• Watch the game on Amazon

The Detroit Pistons visit Rocket Arena to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Cleveland, OH.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-102).

The Pistons vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 210.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 49-45 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 38-53 against the spread.

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Pistons vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cavaliers vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Cavaliers.

Cavaliers vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.65 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.50 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 away games (+11.35 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.30 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 away games (+8.67 Units / 22% ROI)

Cavaliers Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 33 of their last 45 games at home (+16.95 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 45 games at home (+12.30 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+11.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.65 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+10.45 Units / 20% ROI)

Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 49-45 (-0.45 Units / -0.44% ROI).

• 66-28 against the Moneyline (+9.35 Units / 2.9% ROI)
• 45-48 against the Over for game total points (-7.8 Units / -7.54% ROI)
• 48-45 against the Under for game total points (-1.5 Units / -1.45% ROI)

Cleveland Cavaliers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 38-53 (-20.3 Units / -19.84% ROI).

• 59-34 against the Moneyline (-9.7 Units / -3.08% ROI)
• 48-45 against the Over for game total points (-1.5 Units / -1.47% ROI)
• 45-48 against the Under for game total points (-7.8 Units / -7.62% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Cavaliers:

• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games at home (-32.75 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-32.10 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 45 games at home (-19.85 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games at home (-19.70 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 40 games (-17.85 Units / -39% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:

• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 away games (-16.85 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.90 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 30 games (-12.95 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.45 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 away games (-12.25 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Detroit Pistons
• Keys to Winning for the Cleveland Cavaliers
• Player Injuries for Detroit Pistons vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
• Detroit Pistons Offensive stats
• Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive stats
• Detroit Pistons Defensive stats
• Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive stats

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Pistons are 40-8 (.833) when they win the turnover margin this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592

The Pistons are 5-1 (.833) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Pistons are 1-3 (.250) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .376

The Pistons are 12-4 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .601

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Cavaliers are 29-9 (.763) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Cavaliers are 31-14 (.689) when they win the turnover margin this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592

The Cavaliers are 21-4 (.840) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .701

The Cavaliers are 34-7 (.829) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 30.8 points in the paint per game (2,498 points/81 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Pistons have a TS% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Pistons have averaged 58.6 points in the paint per game (2,342 points/40 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9

The Pistons have made 11.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 52.0 points in the paint per game (4,260 points/82 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Cavaliers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (2,321 assists/ 1,147 TOs) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Cavaliers have a TS% of 53% this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Cavaliers have averaged 60.8 points per game (9,969 points/164 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.7

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (517 blocks/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pistons have averaged 10.4 steals per game (842 steals/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pistons have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (949 blocks/163 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons have blocked 517 shots this season — most among NBA teams

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (5,870 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Cavaliers have allowed opponents to shoot 46% (3,387/7,303) this season — 8th best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Cavaliers have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (1,163/3,127) this season — tied for 4th highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Cavaliers have allowed 45.5 points in the paint per game (3,734 points/82 games) this season — 5th best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 49.8

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