Pistons vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 15, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics (41-17) are -8.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (15-43)
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Wednesday, February 15, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BOS & BSDET

The Detroit Pistons visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Pistons vs Celtics Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 25-30 against the spread, while the Celtics are 31-26 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+12.5 -110O 226.5 -115+500
Boston Celtics -12.5 -110U 226.5 -115-700

Celtics vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Wednesday‘s game with 70.8% confidence.

Celtics vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pistons and Celtics, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 82 games (+20.18 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 69 games (+19.67 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 away games (+17.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 51 of their last 83 games (+15.34 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 78 games (+10.58 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 63 games (+27.18 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 57 of their last 96 games (+14.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 59 of their last 100 games (+13.14 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the Spread in 54 of their last 95 games (+11.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.51 Units / 24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 25-30 (-8.05 Units / -12.61% ROI).

  • 15-43 against the Moneyline (-11.1 Units / -18.09% ROI)
  • 31-27 against the Over for game total points (+1.3 Units / 2.04% ROI)
  • 27-31 against the Under for game total points (-7.1 Units / -11.13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 31-26 (+2.4 Units / 3.77% ROI).

  • 41-17 against the Moneyline (-12.35 Units / -6.41% ROI)
  • 29-29 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 29-29 against the Under for game total points (-2.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 98 games (-38.50 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 100 games (-27.08 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (-22.45 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 49 of their last 93 games (-21.14 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 95 games (-21.10 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 75 games (-29.36 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 79 games (-24.22 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 72 games (-22.75 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-19.63 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 75 games (-17.85 Units / -21% ROI)

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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Detroit Pistons are 3-15 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for second-worst among NBA teams. The Cleveland Cavaliers has shot 37% from three (654/1,774) this season — ninth-best among NBA teams.

The Pistons are 10-35 (.222) when grabbing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

The Detroit Pistons are 4-26 (.133) when they lose the turnover margin this season — worst among NBA teams. The Cleveland Cavaliers have averaged 13.1 turnovers per game (735 turnovers/56 games) this season — eighth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Pistons are 11-54 (.169) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .423

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Boston Celtics are 63-16 (.797) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-best among NBA teams. The Philadelphia 76ers have averaged 41.7 rebounds per game (5,587 rebounds/134 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-lowest among NBA teams.

The Boston Celtics are 24-5 (.828) when winning the rebounding margin this season — third-best among NBA teams. The Philadelphia 76ers have averaged 40.7 rebounds per game (2,117 rebounds/52 games) this season — third-lowest among NBA teams.

The Celtics are 16-4 (.800) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571

The Celtics are 100-28 (.781) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .677

Injury Report: Celtics vs. PistonsWednesday‘s Game, Feb. 15

  • Jaylen Brown (Celtics): There is no timetable for Brown’s return to action after suffering a facial fracture, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): The Celtics announced that Gallinari tore his ACL in his left knee. There is no timetable for his return.
  • Marcus Smart (Celtics): Smart announced that he hopes to return in a week or two, but there is no timetable for his return.
  • Al Horford (Celtics): Horford did not play in Tuesday’s (Feb. 14) game against Milwaukee.
  • Jayson Tatum (Celtics): Tatum did not play in Tuesday’s (Feb. 14) game against Milwaukee.
  • Marvin Bagley III (Pistons): The Pistons announced that Bagley III underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated in about six weeks.
  • Cade Cunningham (Pistons): According the Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN, Cunningham is expected to have season-ending surgery on his left shin.

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons are shooting 44% (5,317/12,076) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons are shooting 44% (2,553/5,861) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Pistons are shooting 44% (2,694/6,062) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons have a TS% of 48% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 15.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Celtics are shooting 82% from the free throw line (1,158/1,417) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Celtics have 22.6 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.8

The Celtics have averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (701 turnovers/54 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,707 rebounds/209 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Pistons have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (201 blocks/55 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pistons have averaged 31.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,350 rebounds/137 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Pistons have averaged 7.7 steals per game (530 steals/69 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (399 blocks/68 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Celtics have averaged 35.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,913 rebounds/54 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Celtics have averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (7,224 rebounds/208 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Celtics have averaged 6.3 steals per game (339 steals/54 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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