Pistons vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 21, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Hawks (35-36) are -13.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (16-56)
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Tuesday, March 21, 2023 at 7:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSSE & BSDETX

The Detroit Pistons visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Pistons vs Hawks Over/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 30-39 against the spread, while the Hawks are 31-39 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+13.5 -110O 236.5 -110+675
Atlanta Hawks -13.5 -110U 236.5 -110-1100

Hawks vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Tuesday‘s game with 76.5% confidence.

Hawks vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.5% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pistons and Hawks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 54 of their last 83 games (+20.57 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 83 games (+15.43 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 79 games (+14.16 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 27 games (+10.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 away games (+10.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.11 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 85 games (+10.53 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 69 games (+10.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.87 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.30 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 30-39 (-12.95 Units / -16.35% ROI).

  • 16-56 against the Moneyline (-22.6 Units / -29.99% ROI)
  • 35-37 against the Over for game total points (-5.7 Units / -7.2% ROI)
  • 37-35 against the Under for game total points (-1.5 Units / -1.89% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 31-39 (-11.9 Units / -15.24% ROI).

  • 35-36 against the Moneyline (-18.65 Units / -14.51% ROI)
  • 41-30 against the Over for game total points (+8 Units / 10.24% ROI)
  • 30-41 against the Under for game total points (-15.1 Units / -19.33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 66 games (-31.29 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 39 of their last 89 games (-26.69 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 66 games (-24.48 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 76 games (-21.55 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 85 games (-21.41 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 83 games (-32.45 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 83 games (-25.65 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 83 games (-25.45 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 80 games (-24.00 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 31 games (-22.25 Units / -69% ROI)

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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Pistons are 23-83 (.217) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454

The Pistons are 10-61 (.141) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Pistons are 5-25 (.167) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Pistons are 8-39 (.170) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .435

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Atlanta Hawks are 3-13 (.188) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors made 16.7 three-pointers per game this season — highest among NBA teams.

The Hawks are 60-13 (.822) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .771

The Hawks are 21-12 (.636) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .513

The Hawks are 7-14 (.333) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .391

Injury Report: Hawks vs. PistonsTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 21

  • Jalen Johnson (Hawks): The Hawks announced that Johnson suffered a mild left groin strain and will be re-evaluated in one week.
  • Dejounte Murray (Hawks): Murry is questionable for Tuesday’s (Mar 21) game against Detroit.
  • Jalen Duren (Pistons): Duren is OUT for Tuesday’s (Mar 21) game against Atlanta.
  • Isaiah Stewart (Pistons): The Pistons announced that Stewart has a left shoulder impingement and will re-evaluated in 3-4 weeks.
  • Cade Cunningham (Pistons): Cunningham had season-ending surgery on his shin. He plans on on being ready for next season, according to James Edwards III of The Athletic.
  • Alec Burks (Pistons): Burks hasn’t played since Mar. 6 against Portland and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Isaiah Livers (Pistons): Livers is questionable for Tuesday’s (Mar 21) game against Atlanta.
  • R.J. Hampton (Pistons): Hampton is questionable for Tuesday’s (Mar 21) game against Atlanta.
  • Hamidou Diallo (Pistons): The Pistons announced that Diallo has a grade 2 right ankle sprain and will be re-evaluated in 3-4 weeks.
  • Bojan Bogdanovic (Pistons): Bogdanovic hasn’t played since Mar. 1 against Chicago and remains without a timetable to return.

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons are shooting 44% (5,879/13,306) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons have a TS% of 48% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Pistons have a TS% of 48% at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Pistons have an eFG% of 50% in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (890 turnovers/74 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks have averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (2,810 turnovers/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks are shooting 48% (3,059/6,352) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Hawks have a 24% free throw rate (1,509 free throw attempts/6,352 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,627 rebounds/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Pistons have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (5,125 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Pistons have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,342 rebounds/69 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (269 blocks/69 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,073 steals/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,576 steals/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (515 steals/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (774 steals/113 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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