Pistons vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 12

• The Pistons are -14.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
• Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
• Watch the game on FDIN | FDDT | WMYD

The Detroit Pistons visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00 pm in Indianapolis, IN.

The Pistons are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-102).

The Pistons vs Pacers Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 44-37 against the spread, while the Pacers are 39-42 against the spread.

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Pistons vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pacers vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Pacers.

Pacers vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 25 of their last 30 games (+18.82 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 away games (+13.15 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2H Spread in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.08 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+10.80 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.50 Units / 51% ROI)

Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 24 games (+15.30 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.20 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (+8.21 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)

Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 44-37 (+3.35 Units / 3.76% ROI).

• 59-22 against the Moneyline (+12.85 Units / 4.52% ROI)
• 38-42 against the Over for game total points (-8.2 Units / -9.2% ROI)
• 42-38 against the Under for game total points (+0.2 Units / 0.22% ROI)

Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 39-42 (-7.2 Units / -8.09% ROI).

• 19-62 against the Moneyline (-28.05 Units / -31.01% ROI)
• 40-41 against the Over for game total points (-5.1 Units / -5.72% ROI)
• 41-40 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units / -3.37% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:

• The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 24 games (-18.95 Units / -69% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.20 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 40 games at home (-16.25 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 40 games (-15.15 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 35 games (-15.15 Units / -37% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:

• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 30 away games (-15.40 Units / -44% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.90 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 18 games (-13.15 Units / -64% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.75 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 35 games (-12.00 Units / -30% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Detroit Pistons
• Keys to Winning for the Indiana Pacers
• Player Injuries for Detroit Pistons vs. Indiana Pacers
• Detroit Pistons Offensive stats
• Indiana Pacers Offensive stats
• Detroit Pistons Defensive stats
• Indiana Pacers Defensive stats

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Pistons are 5-1 (.833) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .398

The Pistons are 40-8 (.833) when they win the turnover margin this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .594

The Pistons are winless (0-19) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .095

The Pistons are 29-10 (.744) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Pacers are 4-26 (.133) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

The Pacers are 5-20 (.200) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Pacers are 8-37 (.178) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .441

The Pacers are 5-30 (.143) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .427

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 30.6 points in the paint per game (2,452 points/80 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Pistons have averaged 58.6 points in the paint per game (2,342 points/40 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9

The Pistons have averaged 20.7 offensive rebounds per game (1,653 rebounds/80 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.8

The Pistons have averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (4,640 points/80 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (7,158 assists/ 3,315 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Pacers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (3,457 assists/ 1,655 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pacers have averaged 112.3 points per game (9,098 points/81 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

The Pacers have 22.5 free throw attempts per game this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (511 blocks/80 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pistons have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (943 blocks/162 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons have blocked 511 shots this season — most among NBA teams

The Pistons have averaged 10.4 steals per game (830 steals/80 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (8,442 rebounds/245 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pacers have averaged 7.3 steals per game (590 steals/81 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pacers have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (1,298 blocks/245 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (77/273) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 34%

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