Pistons vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 30, 2024, 12:00 AM
  • The Pacers are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDDT | FDIN

The Detroit Pistons visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Indianapolis, IN.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pistons vs Pacers Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 10-9 against the spread, while the Pacers are 6-11 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons O
Indiana Pacers U

Pacers vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Friday‘s game with 78.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Pacers.

Pacers vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 56.5% confidence.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 42 away games (+18.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+17.67 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 away games (+16.67 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 60 games (+12.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1Q Spread in 45 of their last 73 games (+12.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 92 games (+16.62 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 41 games (+15.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 47 games at home (+14.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games at home (+10.35 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 10-9 (+0.1 Units / 0.45% ROI).

  • 8-12 against the Moneyline (-3 Units / -12.71% ROI)
  • 8-11 against the Over for game total points (-4.1 Units / -18.64% ROI)
  • 11-8 against the Under for game total points (+2.2 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 6-11 (-6.1 Units / -29.19% ROI).

  • 9-10 against the Moneyline (-5.1 Units / -12.88% ROI)
  • 13-6 against the Over for game total points (+6.4 Units / 30.62% ROI)
  • 6-13 against the Under for game total points (-8.3 Units / -39.71% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 92 games (-30.10 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 94 games (-22.95 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 99 games (-22.45 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 47 games (-20.20 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 94 games (-19.25 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 67 games (-27.40 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 85 games (-26.45 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 60 games (-18.70 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-17.77 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 50 games (-16.95 Units / -31% ROI)

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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Pistons are 7-40 (.149) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Pistons are 15-70 (.176) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Pistons were 3-36 (.077) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Pacers are 4-8 (.333) when losing the rebounding margin this season — T-10th-worst in the NBA. The Pistons have averaged 55.2 rebounds/game this season — 5th-highest in the NBA.

The Pacers were 12-4 (.750) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Pacers are 28-10 (.737) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

The Pacers are 13-32 (.289) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .331

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons averaged 109.9 points per game (9,010 points/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,263 assists/ 1,462 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Pistons made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Pistons shot 34% from three (439/1,281) in the first half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers have averaged 57.5 points in the paint per game (2,934 points/51 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.4

The Pacers have averaged 9.4 second chance points per game (160 points/17 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 5.8 steals per game (104 steals/18 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Pistons have averaged 6.2 steals per game (300 steals/48 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Pistons have averaged 6.4 steals per game (635 steals/100 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Pistons have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (6,284 rebounds/182 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (586 rebounds/17 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers allowed 58.4 points in the paint per game (4,788 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 7.7 steals per game (631 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.