Pistons vs Raptors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 24, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Raptors (35-38) are -14.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (16-57)
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Friday, March 24, 2023 at 7:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on & BSDET

The Detroit Pistons visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Toronto.

The Raptors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Pistons vs Raptors Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 30-40 against the spread, while the Raptors are 36-36 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+14.5 -110O 223.5 -115+750
Toronto Raptors -14.5 -110U 223.5 -115-1200

Raptors vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Raptors will win Friday‘s game with 75.8% confidence.

Raptors vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pistons and Raptors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 77 games (+18.99 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 80 games (+13.16 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 74 games (+12.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 34 of their last 56 games (+9.81 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 47 games (+12.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.03 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 48 games at home (+9.36 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games (+9.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 4Q Spread in 48 of their last 83 games (+9.13 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 30-40 (-14.05 Units / -17.5% ROI).

  • 16-57 against the Moneyline (-23.6 Units / -30.91% ROI)
  • 35-38 against the Over for game total points (-6.8 Units / -8.47% ROI)
  • 38-35 against the Under for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.62% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 36-36 (-3.6 Units / -4.48% ROI).

  • 35-38 against the Moneyline (-20.8 Units / -14.95% ROI)
  • 40-31 against the Over for game total points (+5.9 Units / 7.35% ROI)
  • 31-40 against the Under for game total points (-13 Units / -16.19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 47 games (-25.18 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 40 of their last 87 games (-23.50 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 61 games (-22.60 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 47 games (-19.89 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 38 of their last 89 games (-18.77 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 81 games (-30.35 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 76 games (-26.60 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 81 games (-25.00 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 32 games (-23.25 Units / -70% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 82 games (-22.30 Units / -24% ROI)

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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Pistons are 23-83 (.217) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454

The Pistons are 10-61 (.141) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Pistons are 5-25 (.167) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Pistons are 8-39 (.170) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .435

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Raptors are 28-7 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .723

The Raptors are 17-27 (.386) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

The Raptors are 15-18 (.455) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Raptors are 10-3 (.769) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .696

Injury Report: Raptors vs. PistonsFriday‘s Game, Mar. 24

  • Dalano Banton (Raptors): Banton hasn’t played since Feb. 26 against Cleveland and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Otto Porter Jr. (Raptors): The Raptors announced that Porter Jr. underwent season-ending surgery on his left foot.
  • Joe Wieskamp (Raptors): The Raptors have listed Wieskamp as QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s game (Mar. 24) against the Pistons.
  • Precious Achiuwa (Raptors): The Raptors have listed Achiuwa as QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s game (Mar. 24) against the Pistons.
  • Gary Trent Jr. (Raptors): The Raptors have listed Trent Jr. as QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s game (Mar. 24) against the Pistons.
  • Scottie Barnes (Raptors): The Raptors have listed Barnes as QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s game (Mar. 24) against the Pistons.
  • Isaiah Stewart (Pistons): The Pistons announced that Stewart has a left shoulder impingement and will re-evaluated in 3-4 weeks.
  • Cade Cunningham (Pistons): Cunningham had season-ending surgery on his shin. He plans on on being ready for next season, according to James Edwards III of The Athletic.
  • Alec Burks (Pistons): Burks hasn’t played since Mar. 6 against Portland and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Isaiah Livers (Pistons): The Pistons have listed Livers as PROBABLE for Friday’s game (Mar. 24) against the Raptors.
  • Hamidou Diallo (Pistons): The Pistons announced that Diallo has a grade 2 right ankle sprain and will be re-evaluated in 3-4 weeks.
  • Rodney McGruder (Pistons): The Pistons have listed McGruder as OUT for Friday’s game (Mar. 24) against the Raptors.The Pistons have listed Livers as PROBABLE for Friday’s game (Mar. 24) against the Raptors.
  • Bojan Bogdanovic (Pistons): Bogdanovic hasn’t played since Mar. 1 against Chicago and remains without a timetable to return.

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons are shooting 44% (5,879/13,306) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons have a TS% of 48% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Pistons have a TS% of 48% at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Pistons have an eFG% of 50% in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 6.2 turnovers per game (1,366 turnovers/222 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Raptors have averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (813 turnovers/68 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Raptors have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (894 turnovers/150 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Raptors have averaged 5.7 turnovers per game (390 turnovers/68 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,627 rebounds/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Pistons have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (5,125 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Pistons have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,342 rebounds/69 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (269 blocks/69 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (4,951 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Raptors have averaged 9.1 steals per game (1,372 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Raptors have averaged 9.0 steals per game (1,987 steals/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Raptors have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (7,416 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.