Detroit Pistons vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 25, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Suns (10-6) are -12.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (3-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Friday, November 25, 2022 at 9:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSAZ & BSDETX

The Detroit Pistons visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Phoenix.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Pistons vs Suns Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 10-9 against the spread, while the Suns are 11-6 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+12.5 -110O 224.5 -110+500
Phoenix Suns -12.5 -110U 224.5 -110-700

Suns vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Suns will win Friday‘s game with 73.7% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.6% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pistons and Suns, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 27 away games (+19.45 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 69 games (+18.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 77 games (+17.36 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 48 games (+16.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 44 of their last 69 games (+15.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 4Q Spread in 56 of their last 86 games (+23.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 57 of their last 86 games (+17.52 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2H Moneyline in 35 of their last 46 games at home (+14.36 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.08 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 10-9 (+0.1 Units / 0.45% ROI).

  • 5-15 against the Moneyline (-0.95 Units / -4.59% ROI)
  • 12-8 against the Over for game total points (+3.2 Units / 14.55% ROI)
  • 8-12 against the Under for game total points (-5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 11-6 (+4.45 Units / 23.86% ROI).

  • 11-6 against the Moneyline (-3.85 Units / -8.23% ROI)
  • 7-9 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -15.51% ROI)
  • 9-7 against the Under for game total points (+1.3 Units / 6.95% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 games (-29.35 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 87 games (-22.57 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 56 games (-19.60 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 82 games (-17.00 Units / -9% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 43 games (-15.85 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 77 games (-26.43 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 84 games (-25.05 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 81 games (-21.21 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 77 games (-19.64 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 72 games (-16.15 Units / -20% ROI)

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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Pistons are 18-63 (.222) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Pistons are 2-25 (.074) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Pistons are 1-14 (.067) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .312

The Pistons are 3-14 (.167) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Phoenix Suns are 45-2 (.957) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The Miami Heat have averaged 43.1 rebounds per game (4,056 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Suns are 47-5 (.904) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Suns are 26-6 (.812) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Suns are 33-9 (.786) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Injury Report: Suns vs. PistonsFriday‘s Game, Nov. 25

  • Cameron Johnson (Suns): Johnson had surgery and should return in 1-2 months, according to Brian Windhorst of ESPN.
  • Chris Paul (Suns): Paul will be re-evaluated later next week, according to Kellan Olson of ArizonaSports.com.
  • Landry Shamet (Suns): Shamet did not play in Tuesday’s (Nov. 22) game against the Lakers.
  • Isaiah Stewart (Pistons): Stewart will be re-evaluated in 2-3 weeks, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Cade Cunningham (Pistons): The Pistons announced that Cunningham will miss at least the next three games due to left shin soreness.
  • Saddiq Bey (Pistons): Bey did not play in Wednesday’s game (Nov. 23).

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons are shooting 43% (526/1,232) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons have an eFG% of 49% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Pistons have a TS% of 47% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Pistons are shooting 33% from three (1,035/3,150) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (162 assists/ 60 TOs) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns have averaged 5.0 turnovers per game (60 turnovers/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,193 assists/ 981 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (1,241 assists/ 577 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,300 rebounds/165 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Pistons have averaged 31.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,943 rebounds/93 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Pistons have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (56 blocks/14 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Pistons have averaged 6.2 steals per game (87 steals/14 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 30.2 defensive rebounds per game (363 rebounds/12 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Suns have averaged 8.5 steals per game (798 steals/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Suns have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,738 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Suns have averaged 7.9 steals per game (1,315 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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