Pistons vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 30

• The Thunder are -12.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
• Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
• Watch the game on PEAC | NBCS

The Detroit Pistons visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Pistons vs Thunder Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 39-35 against the spread, while the Thunder are 35-40 against the spread.

Bet now on Thunder vs Pistons and all NBA games with BetMGM

Pistons vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Thunder vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Monday‘s game with 77.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Thunder.

Thunder vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 67.6% confidence.

Bet now on Thunder vs Pistons and all NBA games with BetMGM

Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 away games (+14.40 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 20 of their last 24 games (+13.54 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.85 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games (+10.35 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 away games (+9.85 Units / 9% ROI)

Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 19 games (+15.15 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+10.55 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.25 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)

Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 39-35 (+0.55 Units / 0.68% ROI).

• 54-20 against the Moneyline (+9.2 Units / 3.73% ROI)
• 33-40 against the Over for game total points (-11 Units / -13.51% ROI)
• 40-33 against the Under for game total points (+3.7 Units / 4.55% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 35-40 (-9 Units / -10.91% ROI).

• 59-16 against the Moneyline (-1.05 Units / -0.21% ROI)
• 38-37 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units / -3.27% ROI)
• 37-38 against the Under for game total points (-4.8 Units / -5.82% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 23 games at home (-38.95 Units / -40% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (-36.20 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 games at home (-20.50 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (-19.15 Units / -18% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games at home (-15.90 Units / -27% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:

• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.00 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.67 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-11.90 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 45 games (-11.10 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 30 away games (-11.05 Units / -32% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Detroit Pistons
• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Player Injuries for Detroit Pistons vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Detroit Pistons Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• Detroit Pistons Defensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Pistons are 37-7 (.841) when they win the turnover margin this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .595

The Pistons are 39-9 (.812) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569

The Pistons are 2-38 (.050) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .231

The Pistons are 33-14 (.702) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Thunder are 87-14 (.861) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .563

The Thunder are 16-1 (.941) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .563

The Thunder are 126-33 (.792) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Thunder are 43-7 (.860) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 30.7 points in the paint per game (2,238 points/73 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1

The Pistons have averaged 58.2 points in the paint per game (4,252 points/73 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6

The Pistons have made 10.9 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Pistons are shooting 35% from three (794/2,272) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 12.1 turnovers per game (1,900 turnovers/157 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Thunder have averaged 12.5 turnovers per game (939 turnovers/75 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Thunder have averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (936 turnovers/80 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Thunder have averaged 5.9 turnovers per game (931 turnovers/157 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.2

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (462 blocks/73 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons have averaged 10.4 steals per game (760 steals/73 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pistons have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (894 blocks/155 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons have 760 steals this season — most among NBA teams

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 10.8 steals per game (862 steals/80 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have averaged 9.8 steals per game (1,185 steals/121 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have allowed 5.5 fast break points per game (413 points/75 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (2,264 steals/239 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

Bet now on Thunder vs Pistons and all NBA games with BetMGM

Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.