Pistons vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 28

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on ABC | FDNX | FDDT

The Detroit Pistons visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:30 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pistons vs Timberwolves Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 38-35 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 32-41 against the spread.

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Pistons vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Timberwolves vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 62.4% confidence.

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Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 19 of their last 23 games (+12.54 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 away games (+11.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.85 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games (+11.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.35 Units / 23% ROI)

Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+14.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+13.75 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.63 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.45 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 61% ROI)

Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 38-35 (-0.45 Units / -0.56% ROI).

• 53-20 against the Moneyline (+8.2 Units / 3.34% ROI)
• 33-39 against the Over for game total points (-9.9 Units / -12.33% ROI)
• 39-33 against the Under for game total points (+2.7 Units / 3.36% ROI)

Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 32-41 (-13.15 Units / -16.37% ROI).

• 45-28 against the Moneyline (-14.7 Units / -6.73% ROI)
• 33-40 against the Over for game total points (-11 Units / -13.7% ROI)
• 40-33 against the Under for game total points (+3.7 Units / 4.61% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 30 games at home (-21.80 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 35 games at home (-18.65 Units / -46% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 games (-17.70 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 35 games at home (-17.50 Units / -45% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 games at home (-16.65 Units / -41% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:

• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.00 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 40 away games (-12.95 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 35 games (-11.55 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 45 games (-11.10 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 50 games (-10.52 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Detroit Pistons
• Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
• Player Injuries for Detroit Pistons vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
• Detroit Pistons Offensive stats
• Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
• Detroit Pistons Defensive stats
• Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Pistons are 4-1 (.800) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .398

The Pistons are 12-1 (.923) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

The Pistons are 17-2 (.895) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .772

The Pistons are 30-10 (.750) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Timberwolves are 44-27 (.620) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .502

The Timberwolves are 43-24 (.642) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .498

The Timberwolves are 25-11 (.694) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Timberwolves are 29-10 (.744) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 30.8 points in the paint per game (2,214 points/72 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1

The Pistons have averaged 18.0 fast break points per game (1,293 points/72 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

The Pistons have averaged 58.2 points in the paint per game (4,192 points/72 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6

The Pistons have averaged 58.6 points in the paint per game (2,168 points/37 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (1,581/4,160) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.34 points per shot (8,634 points/6,452 shots) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56% this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves are shooting 37% from three (1,004/2,700) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (453 blocks/72 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons have averaged 10.4 steals per game (749 steals/72 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pistons have allowed a TS% of 49% this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Pistons have blocked 453 shots this season — most among NBA teams

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (419 blocks/73 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.8 steals per game (639 steals/73 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,609 rebounds/73 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (1,321 blocks/237 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

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