Detroit Pistons vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 04, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Warriors (20-18) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (10-30)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Wednesday, January 4, 2023 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BA & BSDET

The Detroit Pistons visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Pistons vs Warriors Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 18-19 against the spread, while the Warriors are 18-19 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+6.5 -110O 231.5 -115+200
Golden State Warriors -6.5 -110U 231.5 -115-250

Warriors vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Wednesday‘s game with 66.4% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pistons and Warriors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 68 games (+23.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 52 of their last 79 games (+21.11 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 62 games (+20.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 49 of their last 75 games (+19.93 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1H Spread in 40 of their last 66 games (+12.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 33 games at home (+21.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 39 games at home (+19.10 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 89 games (+17.78 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 34 games at home (+15.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 44 games (+14.40 Units / 30% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 18-19 (-2.9 Units / -6.59% ROI).

  • 10-30 against the Moneyline (-5.7 Units / -13.99% ROI)
  • 23-17 against the Over for game total points (+4.3 Units / 9.77% ROI)
  • 17-23 against the Under for game total points (-8.3 Units / -18.86% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 18-19 (-2.9 Units / -6.94% ROI).

  • 20-18 against the Moneyline (-11.9 Units / -13.55% ROI)
  • 21-17 against the Over for game total points (+2.3 Units / 5.5% ROI)
  • 17-21 against the Under for game total points (-6.1 Units / -14.59% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 91 games (-29.63 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 97 games (-28.19 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 50 of their last 100 games (-25.02 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-20.06 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 97 games (-19.95 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 81 games (-31.66 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 73 games (-26.67 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 60 games (-18.29 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 73 games (-16.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 75 games (-15.69 Units / -19% ROI)

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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Pistons are 18-63 (.222) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Pistons are 2-25 (.074) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Pistons are 1-14 (.067) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .312

The Pistons are 3-14 (.167) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Warriors are 26-4 (.867) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Warriors are 51-19 (.729) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Warriors are 8-32 (.200) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224

The Warriors are 19-15 (.559) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Injury Report: Warriors vs. PistonsWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 4

  • Patrick Baldwin Jr. (Warriors): Baldwin Jr. is probable for Wednesday’s (Jan.4) game against Detroit.
  • James Wiseman (Warriors): Wiseman is out for Wednesday’s (Jan.4) game against Detroit.
  • Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins is out for Wednesday’s (Jan.4) game against Detroit.
  • JaMychal Green (Warriors): Green hasn’t played since Dec. 18 against Toronto. No timetable for his return has been announced.
  • Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors): Kuminga is out for Wednesday’s (Jan.4) game against Detroit.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala has yet to make his season debut and the Warriors haven’t announced a timeline for his return.
  • Stephen Curry (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Curry is making progress and will be re-evaluated in two weeks.
  • Marvin Bagley III (Pistons): Bagley III is expected to miss extended time, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Cade Cunningham (Pistons): According the Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN, Cunningham is expected to have season-ending surgery on his left shin.
  • Isaiah Livers (Pistons): Livers will be re-evaluated in 2-3 weeks, according to Mike Curtis of The Detroit News.

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons are shooting 43% (526/1,232) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons have an eFG% of 49% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Pistons have a TS% of 47% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Pistons are shooting 33% from three (1,035/3,150) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 8.4 turnovers per game (109 turnovers/13 games) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors have a TS% of 54% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Warriors have averaged 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,478 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

The Warriors have averaged 7.2 turnovers per game (1,192 turnovers/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,300 rebounds/165 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Pistons have averaged 31.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,943 rebounds/93 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Pistons have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (56 blocks/14 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Pistons have averaged 6.2 steals per game (87 steals/14 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,346 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Warriors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (417 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Warriors have 1,388 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Warriors have averaged 6.9 steals per game (90 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.