Raptors vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 05, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Grizzlies (32-20) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Raptors (24-30)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 6:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSE &

The Toronto Raptors visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Memphis.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Raptors vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 26-28 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 24-26 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors+2.5 -105O 230.5 -110+125
Memphis Grizzlies -2.5 -115U 230.5 -110-155

Grizzlies vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Sunday‘s game with 62.1% confidence.

Grizzlies vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Raptors and Grizzlies, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 4Q Spread in 56 of their last 91 games (+17.32 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 1H Spread in 46 of their last 77 games (+11.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 39 away games (+11.51 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 2Q Spread in 43 of their last 72 games (+10.97 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 53 of their last 91 games (+9.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 42 games at home (+25.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 42 games at home (+22.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 58 of their last 92 games (+22.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+19.11 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+13.70 Units / 30% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 26-28 (-4.8 Units / -8.08% ROI).

  • 24-30 against the Moneyline (-18.05 Units / -18.96% ROI)
  • 30-23 against the Over for game total points (+4.7 Units / 7.91% ROI)
  • 23-30 against the Under for game total points (-10 Units / -16.84% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 24-26 (-4.6 Units / -8.04% ROI).

  • 32-20 against the Moneyline (-3.5 Units / -2.68% ROI)
  • 23-27 against the Over for game total points (-6.7 Units / -11.71% ROI)
  • 27-23 against the Under for game total points (+1.7 Units / 2.97% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 92 games (-39.78 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 85 games (-29.96 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 88 games (-25.00 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 56 games (-23.97 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 90 games (-23.91 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 87 games (-32.22 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 87 games (-22.38 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 42 games (-19.85 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 86 games (-18.47 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 away games (-16.79 Units / -33% ROI)

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Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Raptors are 11-16 (.407) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .526

The Raptors are 6-10 (.375) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .471

The Raptors are 50-15 (.769) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .680

The Raptors are 31-39 (.443) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Memphis Grizzlies are 78-19 (.804) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-best among NBA teams. The Sacramento Kings have averaged 42.6 rebounds per game (5,415 rebounds/127 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Grizzlies are 17-4 (.810) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .472

The Grizzlies are 16-3 (.842) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .515

The Grizzlies are 35-12 (.745) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. RaptorsSunday‘s Game, Feb. 5

  • Steven Adams (Grizzlies): Adams will be sidelined three to five weeks after sustaining a PCL sprain in his right knee per Grizzlies PR twitter.
  • Ja Morant (Grizzlies): Morant is QUESTIONABLE for Sunday’s (Feb. 5) game against Toronto.
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. (Grizzlies): Jackson Jr. is QUESTIONABLE for Sunday’s (Feb. 5) game against Toronto
  • Otto Porter Jr. (Raptors): The Raptors announced that Porter Jr. underwent season-ending surgery on his left foot.
  • OG Anunoby (Raptors): The Raptors announced that Anunoby has been ruled out for at least the next four games.

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 11.5 turnovers per game (551 turnovers/48 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Raptors have averaged 5.8 turnovers per game (1,169 turnovers/202 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Raptors have averaged 11.2 turnovers per game (762 turnovers/68 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Raptors have a TS% of 48% in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 13.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,776 rebounds/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.4

The Grizzlies have averaged 12.9 offensive rebounds per game (2,579 rebounds/200 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 28.3 points in the paint per game (5,654 points/200 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.1

The Grizzlies have averaged 58.2 points in the paint per game (7,450 points/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.2

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 9.3 steals per game (447 steals/48 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors have averaged 31.5 defensive rebounds per game (6,370 rebounds/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Raptors have averaged 9.1 steals per game (1,185 steals/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Raptors have 447 steals this season — most among NBA teams

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.9 blocks per game (439 blocks/64 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (628 blocks/100 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (814 blocks/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (1,166 steals/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.