Basketball
Dallas MavericksToronto Raptors

Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 4

min read
 BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 04, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks (3-3) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Raptors (3-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
  • Friday, November 4, 2022 at 8:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSSW &

The Toronto Raptors visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Dallas.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Raptors vs Mavericks Over/Under is 216.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 6-2 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 3-3 against the spread.

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Raptors vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors+3.5 -110O 216.5 -110135
Dallas Mavericks -3.5 -110U 216.5 -110-165

Mavericks vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Friday‘s game with 54.9% confidence.

Mavericks vs Raptors Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 53.1% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Raptors and Mavericks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the Spread in 46 of their last 74 games (+16.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 2Q Spread in 21 of their last 26 games (+15.49 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 4Q Spread in 40 of their last 63 games (+14.79 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 19 away games (+14.53 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 26 games (+14.20 Units / 40% ROI)
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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 63 of their last 98 games (+25.13 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 42 games at home (+18.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+17.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 49 of their last 82 games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 75 games (+13.70 Units / 8% ROI)
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    Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 6-2 (+3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI).

    • 5-3 against the Moneyline (+1.8 Units / 16.59% ROI)
    • 4-4 against the Over for game total points (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
    • 4-4 against the Under for game total points (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 3-3 (-0.3 Units / -3.9% ROI).

    • 4-3 against the Moneyline (-4.2 Units / -22.76% ROI)
    • 5-2 against the Over for game total points (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI)
    • 2-5 against the Under for game total points (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 98 games (-36.59 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 45 games at home (-22.20 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 98 games (-18.28 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 45 of their last 94 games (-17.62 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 99 games (-17.15 Units / -16% ROI)
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  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 41 games (-18.87 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 69 games (-17.11 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 61 games (-17.05 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 87 games (-16.85 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 33 away games (-15.30 Units / -42% ROI)
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    Jump to:

    Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

    The Raptors were 15-4 (.789) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

    The Raptors are 20-23 (.465) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

    The Raptors were 32-4 (.889) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .707

    The Raptors are 24-41 (.364) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

    Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

    The Dallas Mavericks were 29-15 (.659) when they win the turnover margin last season — eighth-best among NBA teams. The Orlando Magic averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (1,131 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for third-highest among NBA teams.

    The Mavericks were 19-6 (.760) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

    The Mavericks were 27-3 (.900) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .772

    The Mavericks were 23-10 (.697) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

    Injury Report: Mavericks vs. Raptors – Friday‘s Game, Nov. 4

  • Frank Ntilikina (Mavericks): Ntilikina is out for Friday’s (Nov. 4) game against Toronto.
  • Davis Bertans (Mavericks): Bertans is out for Friday’s (Nov. 4) game against Toronto.
    •
  • Fred VanVleet (Raptors): VanVleet did not play in Wednesday’s (Nov. 2) game against San Antonio.
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    Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Raptors averaged 13.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,082 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.3

    The Raptors averaged 21.8 assists per game (1,784 assists/82 games) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.5

    The Raptors averaged 5.7 turnovers per game (463 turnovers/81 games) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.4

    The Raptors averaged 7.4 fast break points per game (600 points/81 games) in the second half last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.8

    Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Mavericks have averaged 11.4 turnovers per game (880 turnovers/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1

    The Mavericks averaged 42.9 points in the paint per game (3,514 points/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.0

    The Mavericks averaged 10.0 fast break points per game (821 points/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

    The Mavericks have averaged 11.6 turnovers per game (1,781 turnovers/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1

    Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Raptors have averaged 31.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,903 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    The Raptors averaged 31.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,595 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Raptors have averaged 8.7 steals per game (1,345 steals/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Raptors stole the ball 730 times last season — 2nd most among NBA teams

    Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Mavericks averaged 6.7 steals per game (550 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Mavericks have averaged 6.4 steals per game (493 steals/77 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

    The Mavericks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (636 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (302 blocks/77 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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