- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on ALT2 | SNET
The Toronto Raptors visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Denver, CO.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Raptors vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 34-33 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 39-30 against the spread.
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Raptors vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Toronto Raptors | O | ||
| Denver Nuggets | U |
Nuggets vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Raptors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Raptors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.51 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+11.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.75 Units / 15% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.80 Units / 67% ROI)
Toronto Raptors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 34-33 (-2.3 Units / -3.07% ROI).
- 39-29 against the Moneyline (+9 Units / 6.93% ROI)
- 27-41 against the Over for game total points (-18.1 Units / -24.2% ROI)
- 41-27 against the Under for game total points (+11.3 Units / 15.11% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 39-30 (+6 Units / 7.9% ROI).
- 42-27 against the Moneyline (+2.6 Units / 1.45% ROI)
- 43-26 against the Over for game total points (+14.43 Units / 19.02% ROI)
- 26-43 against the Under for game total points (-21.3 Units / -28.04% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 30 games at home (-22.16 Units / -42% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2H Spread in 9 of their last 30 games at home (-15.07 Units / -43% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 25 games at home (-13.40 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 22 games at home (-12.80 Units / -49% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 22 games at home (-12.65 Units / -49% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Raptors:
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 50 games (-23.85 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.02 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.10 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.75 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games (-14.65 Units / -21% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Toronto Raptors
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggets
- Toronto Raptors Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Toronto Raptors Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Raptors are 3-12 (.200) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .381
The Raptors were 2-15 (.118) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Raptors are 33-89 (.270) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have averaged 53.1 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-highest in the NBA.
The Raptors were winless (0-6) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .373
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors
The Nuggets are 34-7 (.829) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .619
The Nuggets are 103-18 (.851) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Raptors have allowed opponents to shoot 47% since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-worst in the NBA.
The Nuggets were 53-21 (.716) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511
The Nuggets are undefeated (5-0) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .635
Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Raptors averaged 18.7 fast break points per game (1,531 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
The Raptors averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (847 points/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8
The Raptors averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8
The Raptors have averaged 18.5 fast break points per game (4,284 points/232 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (966 assists/ 438 TOs) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Nuggets have averaged 1.41 points per shot (4,674 points/3,306 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
The Nuggets averaged 10.7 points in the paint per game (586 points/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5
Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Raptors averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,769 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Raptors averaged 4.2 blocks per game (348 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Raptors have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (1,059 blocks/232 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Raptors have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,300 rebounds/68 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 6.9 steals per game (486 steals/70 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Nuggets averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,031 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
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