- The Nuggets (45-19) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Raptors (32-33)
- Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
- Monday, March 6, 2023 at 9:00pm EST
- Watch the game on ALT &
The Toronto Raptors visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).
The Raptors vs Nuggets Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 32-33 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 36-27 against the spread.
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Raptors vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Toronto Raptors | +6.5 -115 | O 229.5 -110 | +195 |
Denver Nuggets | -6.5 -105 | U 229.5 -110 | -250 |
Nuggets vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 65.0% confidence.
Nuggets vs Raptors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 52.5% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Raptors and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Raptors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 44 away games (+14.31 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have covered the 4Q Spread in 44 of their last 75 games (+9.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 39 games (+8.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 90 games (+7.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 60 games (+25.82 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 27 games at home (+22.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 32 games at home (+13.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 53 of their last 88 games (+13.49 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 35 games (+13.00 Units / 34% ROI)
Toronto Raptors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 32-33 (-4.3 Units / -6.01% ROI).
- 32-33 against the Moneyline (-15.75 Units / -12.75% ROI)
- 35-29 against the Over for game total points (+3.1 Units / 4.34% ROI)
- 29-35 against the Under for game total points (-9.5 Units / -13.29% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 36-27 (+6.3 Units / 8.96% ROI).
- 45-19 against the Moneyline (+18.55 Units / 11.06% ROI)
- 32-32 against the Over for game total points (-3.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 32-32 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 87 games (-36.19 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 88 games (-25.42 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 85 games (-24.86 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 45 of their last 88 games (-19.17 Units / -14% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 85 games (-18.51 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Raptors:
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 39 games (-25.24 Units / -48% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 85 games (-24.24 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 37 of their last 79 games (-21.15 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 44 away games (-20.01 Units / -40% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 90 games (-19.07 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Toronto Raptors
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggets
- Toronto Raptors Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Toronto Raptors Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Raptors are 5-8 (.385) when they lose the turnover margin this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .433
The Raptors are 15-18 (.455) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .529
The Raptors are 17-27 (.386) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451
The Raptors are 18-52 (.257) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .312
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors
The Nuggets are 44-8 (.846) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .597
The Nuggets are 28-11 (.718) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .495
The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562
The Nuggets are 27-9 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575
Injury Report: Nuggets vs. Raptors – Monday‘s Game, Mar. 6
- Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): Gillespie has not played this season and no timetable has been announced for his return.
- Zeke Nnaji (Nuggets): Nnaji has not played since Feb. 5 and no timetable has been announced for his return.
- Thomas Bryant (Nuggets): Bryant is probable for Monday’s (Mar. 6) game against Toronto.
- Vlatko Cancar (Nuggets): Cancar is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 6) game against Toronto.
- Otto Porter Jr. (Raptors): The Raptors announced that Porter Jr. underwent season-ending surgery on his left foot.
Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Raptors have averaged 5.7 turnovers per game (1,250 turnovers/218 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5
The Raptors have averaged 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,909 rebounds/146 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.4
The Raptors have averaged 5.4 turnovers per game (343 turnovers/64 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7
The Raptors have averaged 1.23 points per shot (7,929 points/6,455 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (4,882/9,548) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets have averaged 30.6 assists per game (949 assists/31 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4
The Nuggets are shooting 53% (1,393/2,654) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets have averaged 29.2 assists per game (2,102 assists/72 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2
Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Raptors have averaged 31.5 defensive rebounds per game (6,866 rebounds/218 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9
The Raptors have averaged 31.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,558 rebounds/146 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.6
The Raptors have averaged 9.2 steals per game (588 steals/64 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Raptors have averaged 9.2 steals per game (679 steals/74 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (893 blocks/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (570 blocks/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Nuggets have 458 steals this season — tied for 9th most among NBA teams
The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (284 blocks/70 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
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