Raptors vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 11

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Toronto Raptors visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in New Orleans, LA.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Raptors vs Pelicans Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 31-32 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 37-29 against the spread.

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Raptors vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pelicans vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Wednesday‘s game with 60.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 62.6% confidence.

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Raptors Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+17.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.41 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+10.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+10.40 Units / 24% ROI)

Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:

• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+10.80 Units / 43% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.30 Units / 34% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.95 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+6.95 Units / 28% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.18 Units / 18% ROI)

Toronto Raptors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 31-32 (-4.2 Units / -5.97% ROI).

• 36-28 against the Moneyline (+7.1 Units / 5.79% ROI)
• 24-40 against the Over for game total points (-20 Units / -28.41% ROI)
• 40-24 against the Under for game total points (+13.6 Units / 19.32% ROI)

New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 37-29 (+5.1 Units / 7.02% ROI).

• 21-45 against the Moneyline (-14.45 Units / -17.85% ROI)
• 35-31 against the Over for game total points (+0.9 Units / 1.24% ROI)
• 31-35 against the Under for game total points (-7.5 Units / -10.33% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:

• The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.50 Units / -34% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-14.05 Units / -30% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 35 games (-14.00 Units / -35% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 40 games at home (-11.75 Units / -25% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games (-11.65 Units / -23% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Raptors:

• The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 50 games (-26.00 Units / -45% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.03 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-19.30 Units / -35% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.90 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 away games (-14.60 Units / -32% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Toronto Raptors
• Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
• Player Injuries for Toronto Raptors vs. New Orleans Pelicans
• Toronto Raptors Offensive stats
• New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
• Toronto Raptors Defensive stats
• New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Raptors were winless (0-6) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .373

The Raptors were 1-4 (.200) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Raptors were 9-35 (.205) when allowing 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Raptors are 13-3 (.812) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .629

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Pelicans are winless (0-10) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .412

The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Pelicans are 13-28 (.317) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Pelicans are 2-6 (.250) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .371

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 18.7 fast break points per game (1,531 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Raptors averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (847 points/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

The Raptors have averaged 18.5 fast break points per game (4,220 points/228 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Raptors have averaged 9.0 fast break points per game (2,043 points/228 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 61.7 points in the paint per game (2,036 points/33 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6

The Pelicans have averaged 29.9 points in the paint per game (1,972 points/66 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1

The Pelicans are shooting 33% from three (342/1,046) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (182 points/58 games) in close and late situations last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.3

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,161 rebounds/64 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Raptors averaged 4.2 blocks per game (348 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Raptors have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (7,777 rebounds/228 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (478 blocks/113 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 9.0 steals per game (1,023 steals/114 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Pelicans allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Pelicans averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,746 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Pelicans averaged 4.6 blocks per game (379 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

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