Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 19

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 19, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Raptors (20-25) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (22-24)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Thursday, January 19, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSNX &

The Toronto Raptors visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Minneapolis.

The Raptors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Raptors vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 22-23 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 20-26 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors-5.5 -110O 231.5 -110-210
Minnesota Timberwolves +5.5 -110U 231.5 -110+170

Timberwolves vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Raptors will win Thursday‘s game with 59.7% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 53.6% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Raptors and Timberwolves, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 4Q Spread in 53 of their last 83 games (+19.94 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 32 away games (+13.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 50 of their last 83 games (+11.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 2Q Spread in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.39 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 63 games (+7.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 47 of their last 70 games (+20.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 70 games (+18.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 52 games (+18.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 70 games (+17.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 74 games (+16.20 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 22-23 (-3.3 Units / -6.67% ROI).

  • 20-25 against the Moneyline (-16.95 Units / -20.36% ROI)
  • 24-20 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 4.04% ROI)
  • 20-24 against the Under for game total points (-6.4 Units / -12.93% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 20-26 (-8.6 Units / -16.98% ROI).

  • 22-24 against the Moneyline (-12.65 Units / -14.79% ROI)
  • 22-24 against the Over for game total points (-4.4 Units / -8.7% ROI)
  • 24-22 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.4% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 57 games (-35.27 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 91 games (-28.94 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 60 games (-24.67 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 80 games (-23.62 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 63 games (-21.90 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 78 games (-30.63 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 78 games (-20.81 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 33 games (-18.75 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 46 away games (-17.93 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 77 games (-16.75 Units / -19% ROI)

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Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Raptors are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Raptors are 23-10 (.697) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Raptors are 13-19 (.406) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

The Raptors are 26-43 (.371) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Timberwolves are 6-15 (.286) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

The Timberwolves are 28-8 (.778) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .608

The Timberwolves are 8-46 (.148) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Timberwolves are 18-41 (.305) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. RaptorsThursday‘s Game, Jan. 19

  • Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): Towns is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a right calf strain, according to Adrian Wojnarowki of ESPN.
  • Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves): Gobert did not play in Wednesday’s (Jan 18) game against Denver.
  • Austin Rivers (Timberwolves): Rivers did not play in Wednesday’s (Jan. 18) game against Denver.
  • Jordan McLaughlin (Timberwolves): McLaughlin is considered weeks away from returning, according to Jon Krawczynski of The Athletic.
  • Otto Porter Jr. (Raptors): The Raptors announced that Porter Jr. underwent season-ending surgery on his left foot.
  • Dalano Banton (Raptors): Banton is questionable for Thursday’s (Jan. 19) game against Minnesota.

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (290 points/14 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Raptors have averaged 10.8 fast break points per game (151 points/14 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors have averaged 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,260 rebounds/96 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.3

The Raptors have averaged 9.9 fast break points per game (139 points/14 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 52.7 points in the paint per game (738 points/14 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 117.4 points per game (5,281 points/45 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 109.5

The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have averaged 13.7 fast break points per game (2,294 points/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 11.0 steals per game (154 steals/14 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Raptors have 154 steals this season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors have averaged 31.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,333 rebounds/168 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Raptors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (1,499 steals/168 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (479 rebounds/14 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.7 steals per game (1,446 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (931 blocks/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,146 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.