Raptors vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 5

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  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Toronto Raptors visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Raptors vs Timberwolves Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 30-30 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 26-36 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors O
Minnesota Timberwolves U

Timberwolves vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Thursday‘s game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 57.1% confidence.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 50 games (+20.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+14.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 away games (+12.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+9.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+13.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+9.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.69 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 30-30 (-3 Units / -4.47% ROI).

  • 35-26 against the Moneyline (+8.1 Units / 6.94% ROI)
  • 24-37 against the Over for game total points (-16.7 Units / -24.89% ROI)
  • 37-24 against the Under for game total points (+10.6 Units / 15.8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 26-36 (-13.65 Units / -20% ROI).

  • 39-23 against the Moneyline (-16.25 Units / -8.28% ROI)
  • 30-32 against the Over for game total points (-5.2 Units / -7.62% ROI)
  • 32-30 against the Under for game total points (-1 Units / -1.47% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (-26.95 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 24 games at home (-23.15 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (-18.15 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (-17.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 30 games at home (-17.30 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 50 games (-28.15 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 45 games (-21.68 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-15.90 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.50 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games (-13.25 Units / -25% ROI)

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Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Raptors are 3-12 (.200) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .382

The Raptors were 1-21 (.045) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .247

The Raptors were winless (0-15) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .187

The Raptors were 9-35 (.205) when allowing 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Timberwolves were 24-2 (.923) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Timberwolves are 18-6 (.750) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647

The Timberwolves are 19-11 (.633) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Timberwolves are 38-22 (.633) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 18.7 fast break points per game (1,531 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Raptors averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (847 points/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

The Raptors averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Raptors have averaged 18.9 fast break points per game (1,154 points/61 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves shot 39% from three (592/1,527) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.40 points per shot (3,720 points/2,652 shots) in the second half this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Timberwolves are shooting 74% from the free throw line (1,183/1,589) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.37 points per shot (3,689 points/2,702 shots) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 4.2 blocks per game (348 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Raptors have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,067 rebounds/61 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Raptors have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (469 blocks/111 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Raptors have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (7,683 rebounds/225 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,215 rebounds/62 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.8 steals per game (547 steals/62 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Timberwolves allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points/3,480 shots) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Timberwolves averaged 7.9 steals per game (647 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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