Raptors vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 20

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  • The Warriors are -4.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Watch the game on SNET | NSBA

The Toronto Raptors visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Raptors vs Warriors Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 20-23 against the spread, while the Warriors are 22-22 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors+4.5 -115O 224.5 -105145
Golden State Warriors -4.5 -105U 224.5 -115-175

Warriors vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Tuesday‘s game with 68.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Warriors.

Warriors vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 57.3% confidence.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 35 games (+17.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 40 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+11.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.80 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.40 Units / 45% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 20-23 (-5.3 Units / -10.95% ROI).

  • 25-19 against the Moneyline (+2.1 Units / 2.57% ROI)
  • 17-27 against the Over for game total points (-12.7 Units / -26.24% ROI)
  • 27-17 against the Under for game total points (+8.3 Units / 17.15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 22-22 (-2.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 25-19 against the Moneyline (-6.9 Units / -6.12% ROI)
  • 26-18 against the Over for game total points (+6.2 Units / 12.81% ROI)
  • 18-26 against the Under for game total points (-10.6 Units / -21.9% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 45 games (-22.45 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 45 games (-21.95 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games at home (-14.30 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 45 games (-12.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 30 games at home (-12.80 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 45 games (-24.40 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 35 games (-23.05 Units / -57% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 40 games (-18.15 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games (-14.60 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 40 away games (-11.80 Units / -26% ROI)

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Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Raptors were 2-15 (.118) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Raptors were winless (0-6) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .373

The Raptors are 12-5 (.706) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Raptors are 23-72 (.242) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Warriors have averaged 38.9 points in the paint per game (816 points/21 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.5

The Warriors have averaged 12.3 fast break points per game (541 points/44 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

The Warriors have made 15.1 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Warriors have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (701 assists/ 309 TOs) at home this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors were 2-15 (.118) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Raptors were winless (0-6) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .373

The Raptors are 12-5 (.706) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Raptors are 23-72 (.242) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 38.9 points in the paint per game (816 points/21 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.5

The Warriors have averaged 12.3 fast break points per game (541 points/44 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

The Warriors have made 15.1 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Warriors have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (701 assists/ 309 TOs) at home this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors were 2-15 (.118) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Raptors were winless (0-6) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .373

The Raptors are 12-5 (.706) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Raptors are 23-72 (.242) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 38.9 points in the paint per game (816 points/21 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.5

The Warriors have averaged 12.3 fast break points per game (541 points/44 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

The Warriors have made 15.1 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Warriors have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (701 assists/ 309 TOs) at home this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.