Raptors vs Wizards Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Raptors (31-33) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Wizards (30-32)
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 5:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-DC &

The Toronto Raptors visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Washington.

The Raptors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Raptors vs Wizards Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 31-33 against the spread, while the Wizards are 31-30 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors-2.5 -110O 222.5 -110-140
Washington Wizards +2.5 -110U 222.5 -110+115

Wizards vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Raptors will win Saturday‘s game with 51.7% confidence.

Wizards vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Raptors and Wizards, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 43 away games (+13.31 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 4Q Spread in 44 of their last 74 games (+10.67 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 games (+9.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.15 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 90 games (+7.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 69 games (+25.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+13.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+13.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+13.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 79 games (+11.00 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 31-33 (-5.3 Units / -7.53% ROI).

  • 31-33 against the Moneyline (-16.75 Units / -13.71% ROI)
  • 34-29 against the Over for game total points (+2.1 Units / 2.98% ROI)
  • 29-34 against the Under for game total points (-8.4 Units / -11.93% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 31-30 (-2 Units / -2.93% ROI).

  • 30-32 against the Moneyline (+3.9 Units / 5.01% ROI)
  • 29-31 against the Over for game total points (-5.1 Units / -7.48% ROI)
  • 31-29 against the Under for game total points (-0.9 Units / -1.32% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 83 games (-32.10 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-20.66 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 60 games (-19.35 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 82 games (-15.14 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 51 games (-14.81 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 38 games (-26.24 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 84 games (-25.24 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 37 of their last 78 games (-19.93 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 86 games (-19.52 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 43 away games (-18.86 Units / -39% ROI)

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Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Raptors are 5-8 (.385) when they lose the turnover margin this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .433

The Raptors are 15-18 (.455) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .529

The Raptors are 17-27 (.386) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Raptors are 18-52 (.257) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .312

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Wizards are 2-16 (.111) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .253

The Wizards are 11-28 (.282) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .479

The Wizards are 25-66 (.275) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .322

The Wizards are 29-48 (.377) when grabbing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .508

Injury Report: Wizards vs. RaptorsSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 4

  • Monte Morris (Wizards): The Wizards have listed Morris as OUT for Saturday’s game (Mar. 4) against the Raptors.
  • Otto Porter Jr. (Raptors): The Raptors announced that Porter Jr. underwent season-ending surgery on his left foot.

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 5.7 turnovers per game (1,250 turnovers/218 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

The Raptors have averaged 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,909 rebounds/146 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.4

The Raptors have averaged 5.4 turnovers per game (343 turnovers/64 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Raptors have averaged 1.23 points per shot (7,929 points/6,455 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have made 10.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Wizards have averaged 9.5 fast break points per game (656 points/69 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Wizards are shooting 48% (2,597/5,358) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Wizards have averaged 10.7 fast break points per game (1,535 points/144 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 31.5 defensive rebounds per game (6,866 rebounds/218 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Raptors have averaged 31.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,558 rebounds/146 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.6

The Raptors have averaged 9.2 steals per game (588 steals/64 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors have averaged 9.2 steals per game (679 steals/74 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,136 rebounds/62 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Wizards have averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (4,934 rebounds/144 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.6

The Wizards have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,471 steals/216 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Wizards have averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (7,491 rebounds/216 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.