Rockets vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 26, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Cavaliers (47-28) are -14.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (18-56)
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 6:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSOH & SportsNet SW

The Houston Rockets visit Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-105).

The Rockets vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 29-41 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 38-33 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+14.5 -115O 227.5 -110+700
Cleveland Cavaliers -14.5 -105U 227.5 -110-1100

Cavaliers vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Sunday‘s game with 76.5% confidence.

Cavaliers vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rockets and Cavaliers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 30 away games (+15.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games (+13.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.29 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+9.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1H Spread in 38 of their last 67 games (+8.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 74 games (+20.92 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 73 games (+15.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 37 games at home (+14.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 28 games (+11.94 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games (+11.90 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 29-41 (-16.1 Units / -19.78% ROI).

  • 18-56 against the Moneyline (-16.65 Units / -21.81% ROI)
  • 37-37 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 37-37 against the Under for game total points (-3.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 38-33 (+1.65 Units / 2% ROI).

  • 47-28 against the Moneyline (+6.25 Units / 3.56% ROI)
  • 38-37 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units / -3.27% ROI)
  • 37-38 against the Under for game total points (-4.8 Units / -5.82% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 86 games (-31.03 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 85 games (-29.82 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 77 games (-25.12 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 85 games (-24.93 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 56 games (-19.20 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 81 games (-24.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 81 games (-23.65 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 39 away games (-20.90 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 76 games (-20.47 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 81 games (-18.33 Units / -22% ROI)

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Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Rockets are 8-84 (.087) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225

The Houston Rockets are 1-16 (.059) when losing the rebounding margin this season — worst among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 51.9 rebounds per game (3,579 rebounds/69 games) this season — 10th-highest among NBA teams.

The Rockets are 23-78 (.225) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Rockets are 13-52 (.200) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Cavaliers are 1-22 (.043) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .166

The Cavaliers are 14-44 (.241) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .315

The Cavaliers are 34-13 (.723) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Cavaliers are 25-15 (.625) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .512

Injury Report: Cavaliers vs. RocketsSunday‘s Game, Mar. 26

  • Raul Neto (Cavaliers): Neto is questionable for Sunday’s (Mar. 26) game against Houston.
  • Jae’Sean Tate (Rockets): Tate is out for Sunday’s (Mar. 26) game against Cleveland.

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (2,538 assists/ 1,760 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (779 assists/ 587 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (1,703 assists/ 1,262 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (749 assists/ 577 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 102.5 points per game (7,379 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Cavaliers have averaged 107.4 points per game (24,059 points/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.2

The Cavaliers have averaged 52.1 points per game (11,627 points/223 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55.0

The Cavaliers shot 34% from three (714/2,125) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 35.3 defensive rebounds per game (7,861 rebounds/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Rockets have forced 13.1 turnovers per game (457 turnovers/35 games) at home this season — 6th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

The Rockets have forced 13.3 turnovers per game (916 turnovers/69 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.2

The Rockets have forced 13.5 turnovers per game (459 turnovers/34 games) on the road this season — 10th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.1

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,387 rebounds/70 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Cavaliers have averaged 34.8 defensive rebounds per game (7,799 rebounds/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (973 blocks/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Cavaliers have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,086 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.