Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 27, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics (24-10) are -14.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (10-23)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Tuesday, December 27, 2022 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BOS & SportsNet SW

The Houston Rockets visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Rockets vs Celtics Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 15-15 against the spread, while the Celtics are 19-14 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+14.5 -110O 229.5 -110+775
Boston Celtics -14.5 -110U 229.5 -110-1400

Celtics vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Tuesday‘s game with 78.1% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.8% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rockets and Celtics, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 37 away games (+11.56 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 37 away games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 78 games (+9.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 19 games (+8.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 60 of their last 99 games (+15.37 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the Spread in 54 of their last 93 games (+14.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.61 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 71 games (+11.25 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 15-15 (-1.5 Units / -4.13% ROI).

  • 10-23 against the Moneyline (-0.4 Units / -1.17% ROI)
  • 17-16 against the Over for game total points (-0.6 Units / -1.65% ROI)
  • 16-17 against the Under for game total points (-2.7 Units / -7.44% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 19-14 (+3.6 Units / 9.65% ROI).

  • 24-10 against the Moneyline (-8.8 Units / -8.58% ROI)
  • 18-16 against the Over for game total points (+0.4 Units / 1.07% ROI)
  • 16-18 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -10.16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 99 games (-29.15 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 games at home (-23.10 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 74 games (-22.54 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 71 games (-21.45 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 53 of their last 100 games (-20.57 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 78 games (-18.64 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 69 games (-17.40 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 82 games (-17.05 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 82 games (-16.49 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 69 games (-15.86 Units / -21% ROI)

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Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Rockets are 14-56 (.197) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Rockets are 10-38 (.208) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Rockets are 5-64 (.072) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224

The Rockets are 2-19 (.095) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Celtics are 20-10 (.667) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Celtics are 21-11 (.656) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Celtics are 40-7 (.851) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .767

The Celtics are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

Injury Report: Celtics vs. RocketsTuesday‘s Game, Dec. 27

  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): The Celtics announced that Gallinari tore his ACL in his left knee. There is no timetable for his return.
  • Jae’Sean Tate (Rockets): Tate remains without a timetable to return, according to Adam Spolane of Sports Radio 610 Houston.

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (285 assists/ 221 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (3,913 assists/ 2,527 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Rockets have averaged 15.8 turnovers per game (1,373 turnovers/87 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (52 assists/ 48 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 1.38 points per shot (1,554 points/1,124 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Celtics have averaged 1.42 points per shot (812 points/570 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (342 assists/ 159 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Celtics have a TS% of 57% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (3,071 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Rockets have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,465 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Rockets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (61 blocks/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Rockets have averaged 31.5 defensive rebounds per game (410 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (283 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Celtics have averaged 5.3 steals per game (69 steals/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Celtics have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (71 blocks/13 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics have averaged 6.7 steals per game (562 steals/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.