Rockets vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 24, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Grizzlies (45-27) are -13.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (18-55)
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Friday, March 24, 2023 at 8:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSSE & SportsNet SW

The Houston Rockets visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Memphis.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-105).

The Rockets vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 29-40 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 33-37 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+13.5 -115O 233.5 -110+575
Memphis Grizzlies -13.5 -105U 233.5 -110-900

Grizzlies vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Friday‘s game with 76.3% confidence.

Grizzlies vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rockets and Grizzlies, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 29 away games (+14.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+12.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1H Spread in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.29 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 away games (+8.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 48 games at home (+29.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 58 of their last 88 games (+24.27 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 48 games at home (+22.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 48 games at home (+19.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 48 games at home (+15.20 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 29-40 (-15 Units / -18.68% ROI).

  • 18-55 against the Moneyline (-15.65 Units / -20.77% ROI)
  • 36-37 against the Over for game total points (-4.7 Units / -5.85% ROI)
  • 37-36 against the Under for game total points (-2.6 Units / -3.24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 33-37 (-7.65 Units / -9.67% ROI).

  • 45-27 against the Moneyline (+2.4 Units / 1.33% ROI)
  • 31-38 against the Over for game total points (-10.8 Units / -13.64% ROI)
  • 38-31 against the Under for game total points (+3.9 Units / 4.92% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 92 games (-35.85 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 93 games (-34.26 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 76 games (-24.91 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 41 games (-24.56 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 84 games (-20.00 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 82 games (-23.88 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 80 games (-22.65 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 38 away games (-19.90 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 75 games (-19.47 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 82 games (-17.73 Units / -21% ROI)

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Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Rockets are 8-84 (.087) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225

The Houston Rockets are 1-16 (.059) when losing the rebounding margin this season — worst among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 51.9 rebounds per game (3,579 rebounds/69 games) this season — 10th-highest among NBA teams.

The Rockets are 23-78 (.225) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Rockets are 13-52 (.200) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Grizzlies are 52-6 (.897) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .770

The Grizzlies are 73-9 (.890) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .774

The Grizzlies are 105-30 (.778) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .650

The Grizzlies are 26-10 (.722) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. RocketsFriday‘s Game, Mar. 24

  • Vince Williams Jr. (Grizzlies): Williams Jr. hasn’t played since Mar. 3 against Denver and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Steven Adams (Grizzlies): The Grizzlies announced that Adams continues to recover and will be re-evaluated in about four weeks.
  • Brandon Clarke (Grizzlies): Clarke will miss the rest of the season with a left Achilles tear, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Ziaire Williams (Grizzlies): The Grizzlies have listed Williams as OUT for Friday’s game (Mar. 24) against the Rockets.
  • Jae’Sean Tate (Rockets): The Rockets have listed Tate as OUT for Friday’s game (Mar. 24) against the Grizzlies.
  • Frank Kaminsky (Rockets): The Rockets have listed Kaminsky as QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s game (Mar. 24) against the Grizzlies.

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (2,538 assists/ 1,760 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (779 assists/ 587 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (1,703 assists/ 1,262 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (749 assists/ 577 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have a TS% of 43% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies have averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (8,684 points/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 57.3 points in the paint per game (12,710 points/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 28.4 points in the paint per game (4,266 points/150 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.4

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 35.3 defensive rebounds per game (7,861 rebounds/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Rockets have forced 13.1 turnovers per game (457 turnovers/35 games) at home this season — 6th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

The Rockets have forced 13.3 turnovers per game (916 turnovers/69 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.2

The Rockets have forced 13.5 turnovers per game (459 turnovers/34 games) on the road this season — 10th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.1

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (930 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (1,366 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (2,021 steals/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.8 blocks per game (502 blocks/74 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.