Rockets vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 27

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  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Houston Rockets visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Memphis, TN.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Rockets vs Grizzlies Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 30-42 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 32-39 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets O
Memphis Grizzlies U

Grizzlies vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.21 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • No trends found

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 30-42 (-16.15 Units / -20.4% ROI).

  • 43-29 against the Moneyline (-27.25 Units / -11.29% ROI)
  • 31-41 against the Over for game total points (-14.07 Units / -17.77% ROI)
  • 41-31 against the Under for game total points (+6.9 Units / 8.71% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 32-39 (-10.9 Units / -13.96% ROI).

  • 23-48 against the Moneyline (-28.75 Units / -32.14% ROI)
  • 34-37 against the Over for game total points (-6.7 Units / -8.58% ROI)
  • 37-34 against the Under for game total points (-0.4 Units / -0.51% ROI)
  • No trends found
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 away games (-33.90 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 45 games (-23.90 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games (-22.50 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the Spread in 16 of their last 50 games (-21.40 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 40 games (-20.50 Units / -44% ROI)

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Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Rockets are 5-1 (.833) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .400

The Rockets are 41-29 (.586) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .498

The Rockets are 23-9 (.719) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569

The Rockets are 13-5 (.722) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .633

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Grizzlies are winless (0-24) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .216

The Grizzlies are 3-13 (.188) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .389

The Grizzlies are 49-80 (.380) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Grizzlies are 43-122 (.261) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .345

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 20.8 offensive rebounds per game (4,909 rebounds/236 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

The Rockets have averaged 22.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,598 rebounds/72 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.9

The Rockets have averaged 22.4 offensive rebounds per game (3,442 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.4

The Rockets have averaged 8.9 second chance points per game (1,366 points/154 games) in the first half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 18.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,332 rebounds/72 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 28.2 assists per game (2,027 assists/72 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Grizzlies have averaged 7.9 second chance points per game (572 points/72 games) in the first half this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Grizzlies are shooting 35% from three (494/1,406) at home this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (416 blocks/72 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Rockets have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (441 blocks/78 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Rockets have averaged 8.3 steals per game (1,952 steals/236 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Rockets have averaged 35.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,555 rebounds/72 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have allowed 17.6 second chance points per game (1,270 points/72 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0

The Grizzlies have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,433 rebounds/72 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Grizzlies have allowed 18.4 second chance points per game (644 points/35 games) at home this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0

The Grizzlies have allowed 9.0 second chance points per game (650 points/72 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.