- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on SCHN | FDSE
The Houston Rockets visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Atlanta, GA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Rockets vs Hawks Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 21-24 against the spread, while the Hawks are 25-24 against the spread.
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Rockets vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Houston Rockets | O | ||
| Atlanta Hawks | U |
Hawks vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Thursday‘s game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Hawks.
Hawks vs Rockets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.8% confidence.
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Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 away games (+16.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 21 games (+14.65 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.50 Units / 16% ROI)
Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+8.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.81 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+7.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+5.75 Units / 28% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 21-24 (-5.35 Units / -10.82% ROI).
- 28-17 against the Moneyline (-18.95 Units / -11.43% ROI)
- 20-25 against the Over for game total points (-7.47 Units / -15.1% ROI)
- 25-20 against the Under for game total points (+3 Units / 6.05% ROI)
Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 25-24 (-1.35 Units / -2.51% ROI).
- 24-25 against the Moneyline (-3.35 Units / -4.37% ROI)
- 25-24 against the Over for game total points (-1.4 Units / -2.6% ROI)
- 24-25 against the Under for game total points (-3.5 Units / -6.49% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 45 games (-14.25 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 25 games at home (-11.40 Units / -40% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 50 games (-10.75 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 4 of their last 17 games at home (-10.60 Units / -55% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 45 games (-10.10 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 away games (-37.85 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 30 games (-30.05 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 45 games (-24.40 Units / -46% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 games (-23.55 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 21 games (-18.01 Units / -73% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Keys to Winning for the Atlanta Hawks
- Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Defensive stats
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks
The Rockets are undefeated (15-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .782
The Rockets are 13-1 (.929) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570
The Rockets are 15-3 (.833) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571
The Rockets were winless (0-14) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142
Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Hawks are winless (0-19) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .097
The Hawks are 2-3 (.400) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .578
The Hawks are 13-8 (.619) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .439
The Hawks are winless (0-5) when assisting on fewer than 20 field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .231
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets averaged 22.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,844 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
The Rockets shot 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Rockets have averaged 22.9 offensive rebounds per game (2,909 rebounds/127 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.4
The Rockets have averaged 23.7 offensive rebounds per game (1,065 rebounds/45 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 18.0
Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks are shooting 47% from three (104/221) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Hawks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (844 assists/ 388 TOs) on the road this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Hawks have an eFG% of 60% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Hawks have averaged 14.8 assists per game (727 assists/49 games) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,601 rebounds/45 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0
The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Rockets averaged 8.4 steals per game (689 steals/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Rockets allowed 11.7 fast break points per game (958 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4
Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,813 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Hawks allowed 8.5 fast break points per game (694 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 6.8
The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Hawks have averaged 9.4 steals per game (463 steals/49 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
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