Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 11, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Kings (21-18) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (10-30)
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
  • Wednesday, January 11, 2023 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA & SportsNet SW

The Houston Rockets visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Rockets vs Kings Over/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 16-21 against the spread, while the Kings are 21-18 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+9.5 -115O 236.5 -110+290
Sacramento Kings -9.5 -105U 236.5 -110-375

Kings vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Kings will win Wednesday‘s game with 70.9% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rockets and Kings, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 away games (+9.85 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 72 games (+9.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games (+9.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 away games (+7.98 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.31 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 36 games at home (+14.36 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 78 games (+14.08 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.34 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+8.70 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 16-21 (-7.1 Units / -16.14% ROI).

  • 10-30 against the Moneyline (-7.4 Units / -17.92% ROI)
  • 19-21 against the Over for game total points (-4.1 Units / -9.32% ROI)
  • 21-19 against the Under for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 21-18 (+1.2 Units / 2.79% ROI).

  • 21-18 against the Moneyline (-2.35 Units / -3.69% ROI)
  • 18-21 against the Over for game total points (-5.1 Units / -11.89% ROI)
  • 21-18 against the Under for game total points (+1.2 Units / 2.8% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 78 games (-24.51 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 76 games (-23.38 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 69 games (-21.94 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 46 games (-17.25 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 24 of their last 63 games (-17.02 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 76 games (-25.40 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 76 games (-21.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 76 games (-19.23 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 72 games (-18.77 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 23 of their last 76 games (-16.64 Units / -21% ROI)

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Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Rockets are 14-56 (.197) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Rockets are 10-38 (.208) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Rockets are 5-64 (.072) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224

The Rockets are 2-19 (.095) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Kings are 11-55 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .206

The Kings are 6-20 (.231) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .311

The Kings are 3-15 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Kings are 19-38 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

Injury Report: Kings vs. RocketsWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 11

  • Sacramento Kings – No Injuries Reported
  • Houston Rockets – No Injuries Reported

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (285 assists/ 221 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (3,913 assists/ 2,527 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Rockets have averaged 15.8 turnovers per game (1,373 turnovers/87 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (52 assists/ 48 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 7.6 offensive rebounds per game (91 rebounds/12 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.7

The Kings have averaged 1.46 points per shot (308 points/211 shots) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Kings are shooting 37% from three (172/463) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Kings have a 28% free throw rate (293 free throw attempts/1,038 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 7th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (3,071 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Rockets have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,465 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Rockets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (61 blocks/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Rockets have averaged 31.5 defensive rebounds per game (410 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (41 blocks/12 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Kings have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (215 blocks/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,436 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Kings have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (196 blocks/47 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.