Rockets vs Knicks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 27, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Knicks (42-33) are -14.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (18-57)
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Monday, March 27, 2023 at 7:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on MSG & SportsNet SW

The Houston Rockets visit Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Knicks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in New York.

The Knicks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Rockets vs Knicks Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 29-42 against the spread, while the Knicks are 41-32 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Knicks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+13.5 -110O 230.5 -105+650
New York Knicks -13.5 -110U 230.5 -105-1000

Knicks vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Knicks will win Monday‘s game with 75.8% confidence.

Knicks vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Knicks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rockets and Knicks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 82 games (+14.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 31 away games (+14.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.18 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 away games (+8.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1H Spread in 38 of their last 68 games (+7.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 1H Spread in 51 of their last 79 games (+22.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 51 of their last 83 games (+18.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 48 games (+15.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+13.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+11.80 Units / 22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 29-42 (-17.2 Units / -20.85% ROI).

  • 18-57 against the Moneyline (-17.65 Units / -22.82% ROI)
  • 37-38 against the Over for game total points (-4.8 Units / -5.82% ROI)
  • 38-37 against the Under for game total points (-2.7 Units / -3.27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 41-32 (+5.85 Units / 7.09% ROI).

  • 42-33 against the Moneyline (+3.45 Units / 3.01% ROI)
  • 38-35 against the Over for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.61% ROI)
  • 35-38 against the Under for game total points (-6.8 Units / -8.24% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-25.15 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 41 games at home (-20.97 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-20.64 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 41 games at home (-18.13 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 83 games (-16.96 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 82 games (-25.84 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 82 games (-24.65 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 37 away games (-21.50 Units / -58% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 77 games (-21.47 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 82 games (-19.33 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Rockets are 8-84 (.087) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225

The Houston Rockets are 1-16 (.059) when losing the rebounding margin this season — worst among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 51.9 rebounds per game (3,579 rebounds/69 games) this season — 10th-highest among NBA teams.

The Rockets are 23-78 (.225) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Rockets are 13-52 (.200) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Knicks are 23-32 (.418) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

The Knicks are 1-15 (.062) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240

The Knicks are 28-49 (.364) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Knicks are 15-40 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .358

Injury Report: Knicks vs. RocketsMonday‘s Game, Mar. 27

  • Jalen Brunson (Knicks): Brunson is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 27) game against Houston.
  • Duane Washington Jr. (Knicks): Washington Jr. is out for Monday’s (Mar. 27) game against Houston.
  • Jae’Sean Tate (Rockets): Tate did not play in Sunday’s (Mar. 26) game against Cleveland.

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (2,538 assists/ 1,760 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (779 assists/ 587 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (1,703 assists/ 1,262 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (749 assists/ 577 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 21.8 assists per game (4,893 assists/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

The Knicks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,279 assists/ 1,473 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Knicks have averaged 22.3 assists per game (1,559 assists/70 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1

The Knicks have an eFG% of 51% in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 35.3 defensive rebounds per game (7,861 rebounds/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Rockets have forced 13.1 turnovers per game (457 turnovers/35 games) at home this season — 6th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

The Rockets have forced 13.3 turnovers per game (916 turnovers/69 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.2

The Rockets have forced 13.5 turnovers per game (459 turnovers/34 games) on the road this season — 10th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.1

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,502 steals/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Knicks have averaged 6.1 steals per game (425 steals/70 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Knicks have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (5,611 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Knicks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (8,324 rebounds/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.