Rockets vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 21

• The Rockets are -5.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
• Total (Over/Under): 207.5 points
• Watch the game on NBC | PEAC

The Houston Rockets visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30 pm in Los Angeles, CA.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-102).

The Rockets vs Lakers Over/Under is 207.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 36-47 against the spread, while the Lakers are 47-36 against the spread.

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Rockets vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Lakers vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Tuesday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Lakers.

Lakers vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 games (+16.00 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have covered the 2Q Spread in 22 of their last 30 games (+12.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.73 Units / 57% ROI)

Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games (+16.25 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.40 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+13.40 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+9.80 Units / 64% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)

Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 36-47 (-15.65 Units / -17.15% ROI).

• 52-31 against the Moneyline (-24.25 Units / -7.66% ROI)
• 38-44 against the Over for game total points (-10.37 Units / -11.36% ROI)
• 44-38 against the Under for game total points (+2.2 Units / 2.41% ROI)

Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 47-36 (+7.4 Units / 8.11% ROI).

• 54-29 against the Moneyline (+19.85 Units / 9.62% ROI)
• 41-40 against the Over for game total points (-3 Units / -3.29% ROI)
• 40-41 against the Under for game total points (-5.1 Units / -5.59% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:

• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.95 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-20.45 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.85 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games (-12.40 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games at home (-12.15 Units / -19% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:

• The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 away games (-31.30 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.40 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only covered the Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.20 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (-15.62 Units / -16% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 16 away games (-15.50 Units / -64% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
• Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
• Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Los Angeles Lakers
• Houston Rockets Offensive stats
• Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
• Houston Rockets Defensive stats
• Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Rockets are 7-1 (.875) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Rockets are winless (0-3) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .211

The Rockets are 55-23 (.705) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .599

The Rockets are 28-2 (.933) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .787

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Lakers are 26-15 (.634) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Lakers are 16-1 (.941) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .787

The Lakers are 53-27 (.662) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Lakers are 49-17 (.742) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 22.3 offensive rebounds per game (3,658 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.4

The Rockets have averaged 22.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,814 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.9

The Rockets have averaged 20.8 offensive rebounds per game (5,125 rebounds/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

The Rockets have averaged 17.0 second chance points per game (2,092 points/123 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 1.39 points per shot (9,540 points/6,863 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Lakers have averaged 11.4 second chance points per game (1,413 points/124 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Lakers are shooting 51% (1,747/3,428) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Lakers have a 32% free throw rate (1,112 free throw attempts/3,435 field goal attempts) on the road this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 35.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,913 rebounds/82 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Rockets have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Rockets have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (8,844 rebounds/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Rockets have 2,029 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th most among NBA teams

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (351 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Lakers have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Lakers have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (339 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Lakers have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (718 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

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