Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 16, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Lakers (19-24) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (10-33)
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Monday, January 16, 2023 at 10:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on SportsNet LA & SportsNet SW

The Houston Rockets visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Los Angeles.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Rockets vs Lakers Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 16-24 against the spread, while the Lakers are 19-22 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+3.5 -105O 233.5 -110+145
Los Angeles Lakers -3.5 -115U 233.5 -110-175

Lakers vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Monday‘s game with 64.9% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 52.1% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rockets and Lakers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 75 games (+12.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 17 away games (+10.65 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 79 games (+10.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 36 games (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.46 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 42 games (+21.86 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 2Q Spread in 30 of their last 40 games (+18.56 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 31 games (+16.24 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 20 games (+15.62 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 36 games at home (+15.10 Units / 38% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 16-24 (-10.4 Units / -21.99% ROI).

  • 10-33 against the Moneyline (-10.4 Units / -23.48% ROI)
  • 21-22 against the Over for game total points (-3.2 Units / -6.77% ROI)
  • 22-21 against the Under for game total points (-1.1 Units / -2.33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 19-22 (-5.25 Units / -11.09% ROI).

  • 19-24 against the Moneyline (+0.6 Units / 1.16% ROI)
  • 24-19 against the Over for game total points (+3.1 Units / 6.55% ROI)
  • 19-24 against the Under for game total points (-7.4 Units / -15.64% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 80 games (-25.44 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-21.20 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 74 games (-19.67 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 36 games at home (-18.50 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 81 games (-17.90 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 79 games (-28.40 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 79 games (-22.65 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-22.50 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 75 games (-22.29 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 23 of their last 79 games (-19.64 Units / -24% ROI)

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Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Rockets are 14-56 (.197) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Rockets are 10-38 (.208) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Rockets are 5-64 (.072) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224

The Rockets are 2-19 (.095) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Lakers are 11-25 (.306) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Lakers are 3-12 (.200) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

The Lakers are 5-8 (.385) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .479

The Lakers are 27-36 (.429) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Injury Report: Lakers vs. RocketsMonday‘s Game, Jan. 16

  • Austin Reaves (Lakers): The Lakers announced that Reaves will be re-evaluated in two weeks as he deals with a left hamstring strain.
  • Lonnie Walker IV (Lakers): The Lakers announced that Walker IV will be re-evaluated in two weeks as he deals with left knee tendinitis.
  • Patrick Beverley (Lakers): Beverly did not play in Sunday’s (Jan. 15) game against Philadelphia.
  • Anthony Davis (Lakers): The Lakers announced that Davis is dealing with a stress injury in his right foot. The team announced that there is no timetable for his return.
  • Kevin Porter Jr. (Rockets): Porter Jr. did not play in Sunday’s (Jan. 14) game against the Clippers.

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (285 assists/ 221 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (3,913 assists/ 2,527 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Rockets have averaged 15.8 turnovers per game (1,373 turnovers/87 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (52 assists/ 48 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers are shooting 31% from three (124/404) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Lakers are shooting 32% from three (67/208) in the first half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Lakers have made 9.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2

The Lakers have averaged 55.5 points in the paint per game (722 points/13 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.9

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (3,071 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Rockets have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,465 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Rockets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (61 blocks/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Rockets have averaged 31.5 defensive rebounds per game (410 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (284 blocks/49 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Lakers have blocked 867 shots since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Lakers have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (450 rebounds/13 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1

The Lakers have averaged 8.1 steals per game (396 steals/49 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.