Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 3

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on SCHN | KFAA

The Houston Rockets visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Rockets vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 18-13 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 15-20 against the spread.

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Rockets vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mavericks vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Saturday‘s game with 75.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 54 games (+17.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 46 away games (+16.45 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 59 games (+14.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 72 games (+13.15 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 64 games (+12.35 Units / 17% ROI)

Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.50 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 57 games (+9.40 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.85 Units / 68% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 games at home (+8.50 Units / 16% ROI)

Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 18-13 (+3.75 Units / 11.01% ROI).

• 21-10 against the Moneyline (-7.5 Units / -6.18% ROI)
• 18-13 against the Over for game total points (+3.73 Units / 10.95% ROI)
• 13-18 against the Under for game total points (-6.8 Units / -19.91% ROI)

Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 15-20 (-7.05 Units / -18.29% ROI).

• 12-23 against the Moneyline (-8.75 Units / -18.88% ROI)
• 16-19 against the Over for game total points (-4.9 Units / -12.73% ROI)
• 19-16 against the Under for game total points (+1.4 Units / 3.64% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:

• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 77 games (-22.25 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 82 games (-19.75 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the Spread in 35 of their last 85 games (-18.95 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 85 games (-18.40 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 76 games (-18.35 Units / -21% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:

• The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 54 games (-24.90 Units / -40% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 72 games (-23.95 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 39 away games (-22.80 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 72 games (-22.50 Units / -27% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 79 games (-20.17 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
• Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
• Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks
• Houston Rockets Offensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
• Houston Rockets Defensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Rockets are 20-7 (.741) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .640

The Rockets are 6-1 (.857) when they win the turnover margin this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .616

The Rockets are 10-4 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

The Rockets are 48-25 (.658) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Mavericks are 5-12 (.294) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .418

The Mavericks are 7-10 (.412) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

The Mavericks were 16-1 (.941) when assisting on 30 or more field goals in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

The Mavericks were 5-13 (.278) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets are 20-7 (.741) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .640

The Rockets are 6-1 (.857) when they win the turnover margin this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .616

The Rockets are 10-4 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

The Rockets are 48-25 (.658) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks are 5-12 (.294) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .418

The Mavericks are 7-10 (.412) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

The Mavericks were 16-1 (.941) when assisting on 30 or more field goals in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

The Mavericks were 5-13 (.278) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets are 20-7 (.741) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .640

The Rockets are 6-1 (.857) when they win the turnover margin this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .616

The Rockets are 10-4 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

The Rockets are 48-25 (.658) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks are 5-12 (.294) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .418

The Mavericks are 7-10 (.412) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

The Mavericks were 16-1 (.941) when assisting on 30 or more field goals in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

The Mavericks were 5-13 (.278) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

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