- The Mavericks (3-3) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (1-6)
- Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
- Wednesday, November 16, 2022 at 8:30pm EST
- Watch the game on BSSW & SportsNet SW
The Houston Rockets visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas.
The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Rockets vs Mavericks Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 5-7 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 3-9 against the spread.
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Rockets vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Houston Rockets | +6.5 -110 | O 218.5 -110 | 200 |
Dallas Mavericks | -6.5 -110 | U 218.5 -110 | -250 |
Mavericks vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Wednesday‘s game with 72.4% confidence.
Mavericks vs Rockets Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rockets and Mavericks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Rockets Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 79 games (+15.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 79 games (+14.68 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 48 of their last 79 games (+14.06 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 away games (+11.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 away games (+10.84 Units / 35% ROI)
Mavericks Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 91 games (+26.72 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 46 games at home (+20.01 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 49 games at home (+17.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1Q Spread in 57 of their last 94 games (+16.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 46 games at home (+13.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 5-7 (-2.7 Units / -17.53% ROI).
- 2-12 against the Moneyline (-9.2 Units / -65.71% ROI)
- 8-6 against the Over for game total points (+1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI)
- 6-8 against the Under for game total points (-2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 3-9 (-6.9 Units / -48.25% ROI).
- 8-5 against the Moneyline (-6.1 Units / -18.26% ROI)
- 8-5 against the Over for game total points (+2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI)
- 5-8 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Mavericks, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 97 games (-37.96 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 46 of their last 100 games (-24.92 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 49 games at home (-22.40 Units / -42% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 100 games (-18.39 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 95 games (-14.60 Units / -13% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Rockets, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 50 games (-27.20 Units / -53% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 81 games (-25.28 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 82 games (-25.20 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 82 games (-25.11 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 71 games (-23.15 Units / -30% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Rockets are 14-56 (.197) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Rockets are 10-38 (.208) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553
The Rockets are 5-64 (.072) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224
The Rockets are 2-19 (.095) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Mavericks are 25-12 (.676) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Mavericks are 22-6 (.786) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506
The Mavericks are 35-19 (.648) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Mavericks are 46-21 (.687) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
Injury Report: Mavericks vs. Rockets – Wednesday‘s Game, Nov. 16
- Davis Bertans (Mavericks): Bertans has yet to play this season and no timetable for his return has been announced.
- JaVale McGee (Mavericks): McGee did not play in Tuesday’s (Nov. 15) game against the Clippers.
- Bruno Fernando (Rockets): Fernando is expected to miss the next 2-3 weeks, according to Jonathan Feigen of the Houston Chronicle.
- Jae’Sean Tate (Rockets): The Rockets announced that Tate will be re-evaluated in two to three weeks.
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (285 assists/ 221 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (3,913 assists/ 2,527 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Rockets have averaged 15.8 turnovers per game (1,373 turnovers/87 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (52 assists/ 48 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 7.9 assists per game (95 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8
The Mavericks have averaged 49.9 points per game (599 points/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.7
The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (95 assists/ 88 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Mavericks have a 32% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/991 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (3,071 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8
The Rockets have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,465 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1
The Rockets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (61 blocks/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Rockets have averaged 31.5 defensive rebounds per game (410 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,106 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (327 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Mavericks have averaged 31.1 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2
The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (552 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
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