- The Nuggets (12-7) are -11.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (5-14)
- Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
- Monday, November 28, 2022 at 9:00pm EST
- Watch the game on ALT & SportsNet SW
The Houston Rockets visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).
The Rockets vs Nuggets Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 9-8 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 9-10 against the spread.
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Rockets vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Houston Rockets | +11.5 -110 | O 228.5 -110 | +475 |
Denver Nuggets | -11.5 -110 | U 228.5 -110 | -650 |
Nuggets vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 75.4% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rockets and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Rockets Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 31 away games (+12.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games (+12.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+10.81 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 31 away games (+9.84 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.34 Units / 27% ROI)
Nuggets Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 64 games (+17.41 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 52 of their last 87 games (+14.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 51 of their last 87 games (+12.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 87 games (+12.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 49 of their last 87 games (+10.35 Units / 11% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 9-8 (+0.2 Units / 0.96% ROI).
- 5-14 against the Moneyline (-5.65 Units / -29.74% ROI)
- 10-9 against the Over for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI)
- 9-10 against the Under for game total points (-2 Units / -9.57% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 9-10 (-2 Units / -9.57% ROI).
- 12-7 against the Moneyline (+0.3 Units / 0.68% ROI)
- 9-10 against the Over for game total points (-2 Units / -9.57% ROI)
- 10-9 against the Under for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Nuggets, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 34 of their last 87 games (-42.43 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 87 games (-28.99 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 70 games (-26.85 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 games at home (-24.40 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 87 games (-21.89 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Rockets, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 55 games (-23.65 Units / -42% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 71 games (-21.10 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-20.75 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 76 games (-20.64 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-19.88 Units / -22% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Denver Nuggets
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Rockets are 14-56 (.197) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Rockets are 10-38 (.208) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553
The Rockets are 5-64 (.072) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224
The Rockets are 2-19 (.095) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Nuggets are 51-19 (.729) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568
The Nuggets are 33-11 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
The Nuggets are 28-15 (.651) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Nuggets are 17-6 (.739) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
Injury Report: Nuggets vs. Rockets – Monday‘s Game, Nov. 28
- Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets): Porter Jr. is doubtful for Monday’s (Nov. 28) game against Houston.
- Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Gillespie is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.
- Jeff Green (Nuggets): Green is out for Monday’s (Nov. 28) game against Houston.
- Bones Hyland (Nuggets): Hyland is questionable for Monday’s (Nov. 28) game against Houston.
- Jae’Sean Tate (Rockets): The Rockets announced that Tate will be re-evaluated in two to three weeks.
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (285 assists/ 221 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (3,913 assists/ 2,527 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Rockets have averaged 15.8 turnovers per game (1,373 turnovers/87 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (52 assists/ 48 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,136/4,216) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,791/7,476) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 44% from three (61/138) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (171/404) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (3,071 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8
The Rockets have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,465 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1
The Rockets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (61 blocks/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Rockets have averaged 31.5 defensive rebounds per game (410 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (158 blocks/45 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (348 blocks/86 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (196 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (329 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
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