Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 30

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 30, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (13-7) are -11.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (5-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Wednesday, November 30, 2022 at 9:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on ALT & SportsNet SW

The Houston Rockets visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Rockets vs Nuggets Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 9-9 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 10-10 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+11.5 -110O 230.5 -110+475
Denver Nuggets -11.5 -110U 230.5 -110-650

Nuggets vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 75.3% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rockets and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 82 games (+13.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 32 away games (+11.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games (+11.81 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 32 away games (+8.84 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.34 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 65 games (+18.41 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 52 of their last 87 games (+14.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 87 games (+12.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 50 of their last 87 games (+10.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 49 of their last 87 games (+10.35 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 9-9 (-0.9 Units / -4.09% ROI).

  • 5-15 against the Moneyline (-6.65 Units / -33.25% ROI)
  • 11-9 against the Over for game total points (+1.1 Units / 5% ROI)
  • 9-11 against the Under for game total points (-3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 10-10 (-1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 13-7 against the Moneyline (+1.3 Units / 2.61% ROI)
  • 10-10 against the Over for game total points (-1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 10-10 against the Under for game total points (-1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 35 of their last 87 games (-40.43 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 71 games (-27.89 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 87 games (-26.95 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 23 games at home (-23.40 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 87 games (-21.89 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 56 games (-24.65 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-21.85 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-20.55 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 72 games (-20.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 77 games (-18.92 Units / -24% ROI)

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Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Rockets are 14-56 (.197) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Rockets are 10-38 (.208) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Rockets are 5-64 (.072) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224

The Rockets are 2-19 (.095) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Nuggets are 51-19 (.729) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568

The Nuggets are 33-11 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Nuggets are 28-15 (.651) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Nuggets are 17-6 (.739) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. RocketsWednesday‘s Game, Nov. 30

  • Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets): Porter Jr. is OUT for Wednesday’s (Nov. 30) game against Houston.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Gillespie is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.
  • Jeff Green (Nuggets): Green is OUT for Wednesday’s (Nov. 30) game against Houston.
  • Bones Hyland (Nuggets): Hyland is QUESTIONABLE for Wednesday’s (Nov. 30) game against Houston.
  • Jae’Sean Tate (Rockets): The Rockets announced that Tate will be re-evaluated in two to three weeks.

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (285 assists/ 221 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (3,913 assists/ 2,527 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Rockets have averaged 15.8 turnovers per game (1,373 turnovers/87 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (52 assists/ 48 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,136/4,216) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,791/7,476) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 44% from three (61/138) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (171/404) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (3,071 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Rockets have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,465 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Rockets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (61 blocks/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Rockets have averaged 31.5 defensive rebounds per game (410 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (158 blocks/45 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (348 blocks/86 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (196 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (329 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.