Rockets vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 4

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on SCHN | FDIN

The Houston Rockets visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Indianapolis, IN, IN, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Rockets vs Pacers Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 33-28 against the spread, while the Pacers are 28-29 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets O
Indiana Pacers U

Pacers vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Tuesday‘s game with 66.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Pacers.

Pacers vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.


Bet now on Pacers vs Rockets and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 39 away games (+18.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 36 away games (+15.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 away games (+12.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 78 games (+9.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games (+21.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 43 games (+13.27 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 81 games (+12.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+12.63 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 51 games (+11.30 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 33-28 (+2.2 Units / 3.28% ROI).

  • 37-24 against the Moneyline (-12.1 Units / -8.54% ROI)
  • 31-29 against the Over for game total points (-0.9 Units / -1.34% ROI)
  • 29-31 against the Under for game total points (-5 Units / -7.46% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 28-29 (-3.9 Units / -6% ROI).

  • 34-25 against the Moneyline (+4.6 Units / 3.71% ROI)
  • 31-25 against the Over for game total points (+3.5 Units / 5.39% ROI)
  • 25-31 against the Under for game total points (-9.1 Units / -14.02% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 94 games (-24.05 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 96 games (-22.00 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 87 games (-21.00 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 93 games (-20.45 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 74 games (-19.19 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 70 games (-19.25 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 81 games (-18.20 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-17.60 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 82 games (-17.42 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 82 games (-17.20 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Rockets are 27-9 (.750) when scoring 110 or more points this season — T-9th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed 115.3 points per game this season — T-10th-worst in the NBA.

The Rockets were 19-3 (.864) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

The Rockets are 8-29 (.216) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Pacers have shot 37% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-best in the NBA.

The Rockets are 11-6 (.647) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .535

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Pacers are winless (0-6) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .091

The Pacers are 13-7 (.650) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Pacers are 16-19 (.457) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Pacers are 9-11 (.450) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .530

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 22.6 offensive rebounds per game (1,355 rebounds/60 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.1

The Rockets have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Rockets have a TS% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Rockets are shooting 29% from three (90/309) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets stole the ball 639 times last season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Rockets averaged 4.6 blocks per game (374 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Rockets have averaged 8.5 steals per game (512 steals/60 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,804 rebounds/141 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Pacers have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,041 rebounds/59 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Pacers have allowed 55.3 points in the paint per game (7,802 points/141 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 49.6


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