Houston Rockets vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 28

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Pistons (13-37) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (11-38)
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
  • Saturday, January 28, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSDET & SportsNet SW

The Houston Rockets visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit.

The Pistons are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Rockets vs Pistons Over/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 17-29 against the spread, while the Pistons are 21-26 against the spread.


Bet now on Pistons vs Rockets and all NBA games with BetMGM


Rockets vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+4.5 -115O 236.5 -110+145
Detroit Pistons -4.5 -105U 236.5 -110-175

Pistons vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Saturday‘s game with 61.4% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rockets and Pistons, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Pistons vs Rockets and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games (+12.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 away games (+10.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 83 games (+10.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 42 games (+9.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 35 games (+7.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 61 games (+26.69 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 78 games (+17.64 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 53 of their last 85 games (+17.47 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 72 games (+16.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+12.23 Units / 31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 17-29 (-14.9 Units / -27.64% ROI).

  • 11-38 against the Moneyline (-13.45 Units / -26.74% ROI)
  • 24-25 against the Over for game total points (-3.5 Units / -6.49% ROI)
  • 25-24 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -2.6% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 21-26 (-7.6 Units / -13.82% ROI).

  • 13-37 against the Moneyline (-5.85 Units / -11.53% ROI)
  • 29-21 against the Over for game total points (+5.9 Units / 10.73% ROI)
  • 21-29 against the Under for game total points (-10.9 Units / -19.82% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 84 games (-36.93 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 83 games (-25.53 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 85 games (-22.54 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 43 games at home (-16.10 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 53 games (-15.79 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 83 games (-29.45 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 83 games (-27.25 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-22.80 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 83 games (-22.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-22.74 Units / -24% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Rockets are 18-70 (.202) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Rockets are 17-80 (.175) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Rockets are 14-52 (.212) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Rockets are 7-75 (.085) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Detroit Pistons are 11-71 (.134) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks have averaged 47.3 rebounds per game (6,049 rebounds/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-highest among NBA teams.

The Detroit Pistons are 6-21 (.222) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks made 14.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-highest among NBA teams.

The Pistons are 23-73 (.240) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Pistons are 24-60 (.286) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

Injury Report: Pistons vs. RocketsSaturday‘s Game, Jan. 28

  • Marvin Bagley III (Pistons): The Pistons announced that Bagley III underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated in about six weeks.
  • Cade Cunningham (Pistons): According the Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN, Cunningham is expected to have season-ending surgery on his left shin.
  • Cory Joseph (Pistons): Joseph is out for Saturday’s (Jan.28) game against Houston.
  • Jalen Green (Rockets): Green is out for Saturday’s (Jan.28) game against Detroit.
  • Kevin Porter Jr. (Rockets): Porter Jr. will be re-evaluated in one week, according to Jonathan Feigen of the Houston Chronicle.
  • Eric Gordon (Rockets): Gordon did not play in Thursday’s (Jan. 26) game against Cleveland.

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,402 assists/ 1,596 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,441 assists/ 989 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,275 assists/ 1,488 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,019 assists/ 740 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons are shooting 44% (5,036/11,478) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons are shooting 44% (2,497/5,638) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons have an eFG% of 51% in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pistons have a TS% of 48% at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,201 rebounds/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Rockets have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,541 rebounds/46 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Rockets have blocked 486 shots on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th most among NBA teams

The Rockets have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (6,595 rebounds/200 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.0

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,493 rebounds/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.0

The Pistons have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (171 blocks/48 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pistons have averaged 31.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,136 rebounds/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Pistons have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (564 blocks/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


Bet now on Pistons vs Rockets and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.