Rockets vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 8

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  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Houston Rockets visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in San Antonio, TX.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Rockets vs Spurs Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 28-34 against the spread, while the Spurs are 36-27 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets O
San Antonio Spurs U

Spurs vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Sunday‘s game with 68.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Spurs.

Spurs vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 64.4% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 35 games (+17.92 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 50 games (+19.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games (+12.80 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 28-34 (-9.35 Units / -13.72% ROI).

  • 39-23 against the Moneyline (-21.8 Units / -9.69% ROI)
  • 27-35 against the Over for game total points (-11.47 Units / -16.83% ROI)
  • 35-27 against the Under for game total points (+5.3 Units / 7.76% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 36-27 (+6.3 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • 46-17 against the Moneyline (+22.85 Units / 12.58% ROI)
  • 25-38 against the Over for game total points (-16.8 Units / -24.24% ROI)
  • 38-25 against the Under for game total points (+10.5 Units / 15.15% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.70 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 40 games (-18.80 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 35 games (-14.95 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 35 games at home (-11.30 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 23 games (-11.25 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (-30.60 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 23 away games (-30.10 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 35 games (-23.14 Units / -57% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-19.27 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.65 Units / -34% ROI)

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Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Rockets are 15-1 (.938) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Rockets are 5-1 (.833) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .411

The Rockets are winless (0-3) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .236

The Rockets are 34-19 (.642) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Spurs are 19-1 (.950) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .648

The Spurs are 27-6 (.818) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Spurs are 17-1 (.944) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .589

The Spurs are 8-2 (.800) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .411

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets shot 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Rockets have averaged 22.5 offensive rebounds per game (3,246 rebounds/144 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.4

The Rockets have averaged 20.9 offensive rebounds per game (4,713 rebounds/226 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

The Rockets have averaged 22.6 offensive rebounds per game (1,402 rebounds/62 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 18.0

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 61.3 points per game (3,864 points/63 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.0

The Spurs shot 34% from three (519/1,511) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs averaged 29.6 assists per game (1,214 assists/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2

The Spurs had an eFG% of 53% in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Rockets have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (8,138 rebounds/226 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Rockets averaged 7.8 steals per game (639 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Rockets averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,957 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,370 rebounds/63 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Spurs averaged 7.1 steals per game (584 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Spurs averaged 6.3 blocks per game (520 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Spurs averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,932 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.