- The Thunder are -5.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
- Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
- Watch the game on ABC
The Houston Rockets visit T-Mobile Arena to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Las Vegas, NV.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Rockets vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 16-9 against the spread, while the Thunder are 15-9 against the spread.
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Rockets vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Houston Rockets | O | ||
Oklahoma City Thunder | U |
Thunder vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Saturday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Thunder.
Thunder vs Rockets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 51 games (+23.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 33 of their last 49 games (+15.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 41 games (+15.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 48 games (+9.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 46 games at home (+22.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 46 games at home (+15.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 53 of their last 94 games (+11.09 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 46 games (+10.05 Units / 9% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 16-9 (+6.1 Units / 22.18% ROI).
- 17-8 against the Moneyline (+0.25 Units / 0.45% ROI)
- 12-12 against the Over for game total points (-1.2 Units / -4.35% ROI)
- 12-12 against the Under for game total points (-1.1 Units / -4.01% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 15-9 (+5.1 Units / 19.32% ROI).
- 19-5 against the Moneyline (+4.9 Units / 4.93% ROI)
- 11-13 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI)
- 13-11 against the Under for game total points (+0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 76 games (-20.38 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 92 games (-19.20 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 92 games (-17.65 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 94 games (-15.80 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 80 games (-14.85 Units / -16% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 86 games (-17.10 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 away games (-16.75 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 85 games (-15.55 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 44 away games (-15.05 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 85 games (-14.95 Units / -15% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Rockets are 2-22 (.083) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .351
The Rockets are 11-2 (.846) when scoring 110 or more points this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .655
The Rockets are 1-16 (.059) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .254
The Rockets were 3-19 (.136) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Thunder are 13-2 (.867) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .508
The Thunder are 10-1 (.909) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Thunder were 14-3 (.824) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532
The Thunder are 36-8 (.818) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have an eFG% of 45% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets are shooting 40% (139/347) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Rockets have averaged 1.10 points per shot (381 points/347 shots) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32
The Rockets have an eFG% of 50% in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder have a 20% free throw rate (458 free throw attempts/2,230 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%
The Thunder have averaged 11.8 turnovers per game (283 turnovers/24 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (953 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Rockets have allowed a TS% of 46% in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
The Rockets averaged 4.6 blocks per game (374 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 12.2 steals per game (292 steals/24 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Thunder have averaged 9.7 steals per game (512 steals/53 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7
The Thunder have 292 steals this season — most among NBA teams
The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 47% on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
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