Rockets vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 25

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  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Houston Rockets visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Rockets vs Timberwolves Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 30-41 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 31-41 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets O
Minnesota Timberwolves U

Timberwolves vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 60.3% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games (+16.46 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.50 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 away games (+7.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+13.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.48 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 57% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 30-41 (-15.05 Units / -19.28% ROI).

  • 43-28 against the Moneyline (-25.95 Units / -10.81% ROI)
  • 31-40 against the Over for game total points (-12.97 Units / -16.61% ROI)
  • 40-31 against the Under for game total points (+5.9 Units / 7.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 31-41 (-14.15 Units / -17.85% ROI).

  • 44-28 against the Moneyline (-15.8 Units / -7.27% ROI)
  • 33-39 against the Over for game total points (-9.9 Units / -12.5% ROI)
  • 39-33 against the Under for game total points (+2.7 Units / 3.41% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 30 games at home (-21.80 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 35 games at home (-18.70 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 games (-17.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 games at home (-15.40 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (-15.25 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 away games (-31.60 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games (-23.65 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 40 games (-22.43 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the Spread in 16 of their last 50 games (-21.40 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 40 games (-18.35 Units / -39% ROI)

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Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Rockets are 5-1 (.833) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .404

The Rockets are 1-19 (.050) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .233

The Rockets are 14-4 (.778) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .628

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Timberwolves are 43-27 (.614) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .502

The Timberwolves are 42-24 (.636) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .498

The Timberwolves are 15-10 (.600) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Timberwolves were 1-10 (.091) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better in the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets shot 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Rockets averaged 18.6 second chance points per game (764 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Rockets averaged 22.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,844 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

The Rockets have averaged 22.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,578 rebounds/71 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.9

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 37% from three (991/2,663) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves shot 39% from three (592/1,527) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves have averaged 118.4 points per game (8,524 points/72 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.4

The Timberwolves averaged 15.1 second chance points per game (1,240 points/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Rockets averaged 7.8 steals per game (639 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Rockets averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,957 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Rockets allowed 11.7 fast break points per game (958 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,572 rebounds/72 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Timberwolves averaged 6.0 blocks per game (496 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (1,309 blocks/236 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.2 steals per game (1,930 steals/236 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0


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