Rockets vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 27, 2024, 12:00 AM
  • The Timberwolves are -3.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
  • Watch the game on SCHN | FDSN

The Houston Rockets visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Rockets vs Timberwolves Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 12-6 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 6-10 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets O
Minnesota Timberwolves U

Timberwolves vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Tuesday‘s game with 76.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 58.0% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 44 games (+16.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 43 games (+15.38 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 42 games (+14.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 games (+13.34 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 42 away games (+11.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 63 of their last 99 games (+22.58 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 88 games (+9.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 69 games (+9.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 62 games (+8.30 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 12-6 (+5.4 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 12-6 against the Moneyline (-2.15 Units / -4.72% ROI)
  • 7-10 against the Over for game total points (-4 Units / -20.2% ROI)
  • 10-7 against the Under for game total points (+2.3 Units / 11.62% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 6-10 (-5.05 Units / -28.61% ROI).

  • 8-8 against the Moneyline (-11.7 Units / -21.63% ROI)
  • 9-7 against the Over for game total points (+1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI)
  • 7-9 against the Under for game total points (-2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 95 games (-43.30 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 41 of their last 98 games (-24.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 56 games (-24.00 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 41 of their last 98 games (-23.80 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 88 games (-22.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 43 away games (-20.30 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 43 away games (-17.15 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 86 games (-14.10 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 30 away games (-13.10 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 30 away games (-13.05 Units / -38% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Rockets are 2-22 (.083) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .354

The Rockets are 7-55 (.113) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .331

The Rockets are 3-22 (.120) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .315

The Rockets are 28-4 (.875) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Timberwolves were 18-12 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Timberwolves are 27-5 (.844) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

The Timberwolves are 20-15 (.571) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Timberwolves are 13-6 (.684) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 19.6 offensive rebounds per game (3,565 rebounds/182 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.4

The Rockets have averaged 22.4 offensive rebounds per game (404 rebounds/18 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.3

The Rockets have averaged 1.07 points per shot (221 points/206 shots) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Rockets are shooting 24% from three (19/79) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.2 fast break points per game (584 points/48 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Timberwolves averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (1,016 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.5 fast break points per game (200 points/16 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.4

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (1,285/3,336) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have allowed an eFG% of 49% this season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Rockets averaged 4.6 blocks per game (374 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Rockets have allowed an eFG% of 46% in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (545 rebounds/16 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 52% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.