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Houston RocketsPortland Trail Blazers

Houston Rockets vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Oct. 28

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 BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 28, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Trail Blazers are -4.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Friday, October 28, 2022 at 10:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW & SportsNet SW

The Houston Rockets visit Moda Center to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Portland.

The Trail Blazers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Rockets vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 2-1 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 4-1 against the spread.

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Rockets vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+4.5 -115O 222.5 -115145
Portland Trail Blazers -4.5 -105U 222.5 -115-175

Trail Blazers vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Trail Blazers will win Friday‘s game with 64.7% confidence.

Trail Blazers vs Rockets Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rockets and Trail Blazers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 75 games (+13.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 away games (+12.95 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 70 games (+12.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 66 games (+9.66 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 41 of their last 70 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 30 games (+14.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games at home (+13.36 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 83 games (+12.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 49 games (+12.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 49 games (+10.71 Units / 19% ROI)
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    Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 16.36% ROI).

    • 1-4 against the Moneyline (-2.85 Units / -57% ROI)
    • 2-3 against the Over for game total points (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI)
    • 3-2 against the Under for game total points (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 4-1 (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).

    • 4-1 against the Moneyline (+5.35 Units / 107% ROI)
    • 1-3 against the Over for game total points (-2.3 Units / -41.82% ROI)
    • 3-1 against the Under for game total points (+1.9 Units / 34.55% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 82 games (-45.36 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 21 of their last 82 games (-41.42 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 82 games (-33.60 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 82 games (-27.14 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 82 games (-25.53 Units / -28% ROI)
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  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 79 games (-27.02 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 76 games (-24.91 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 78 games (-24.40 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-22.87 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 41 games (-20.85 Units / -49% ROI)
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    Jump to:

    Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

    The Rockets are 12-52 (.185) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

    The Rockets were 2-15 (.118) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

    The Rockets are 4-56 (.067) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .221

    The Rockets were 8-34 (.190) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

    Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

    The Trail Blazers were 7-22 (.241) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

    The Trail Blazers are 4-15 (.211) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

    The Trail Blazers were 10-23 (.303) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426

    The Trail Blazers are 24-45 (.348) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

    Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. Rockets – Friday‘s Game, Oct. 28

  • Trendon Watford (Trail Blazers): Watford did not play in Wednesday’s (Oct. 26) game against Miami.
  • Gary Payton II (Trail Blazers): The Trail Blazers announced that Payton II will miss the start of the regular season and will be re-evaluated in two weeks.
  • Damian Lillard (Trail Blazers): Lillard will be re-evaluated in 1-2 weeks, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
  • Olivier Sarr (Trail Blazers): The Trail Blazers announced that a timeline for Sarr’s return will be announced in one week.
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  • Bruno Fernando (Rockets): Fernando did not play in Wednesday’s (Oct. 26) game against Utah.
  • Alperen Sengun (Rockets): Sengun did not play in Wednesday’s (Oct. 26) game against Utah.
  • TyTy Washington Jr. (Rockets): Washington Jr. did not play in Wednesday’s (Oct. 26) game against Utah.

    • Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Rockets averaged 7.7 turnovers per game (629 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.4

    The Rockets averaged 15.7 turnovers per game (1,284 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

    The Rockets averaged 16.6 turnovers per game (680 turnovers/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1

    The Rockets shot 71% from the free throw line (1,434/2,010) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 77%

    Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Trail Blazers averaged 9.9 fast break points per game (404 points/41 games) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

    The Trail Blazers have averaged 41.6 points in the paint per game (6,414 points/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.2

    The Trail Blazers have averaged 41.4 points in the paint per game (3,190 points/77 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.6

    The Trail Blazers averaged 106.2 points per game (8,711 points/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 110.0

    Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Rockets averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,661 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Rockets have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (5,055 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    The Rockets have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (369 blocks/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Rockets have blocked 369 shots on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th most among NBA teams

    Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,100 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    The Trail Blazers averaged 8.0 steals per game (656 steals/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,661 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Trail Blazers stole the ball 656 times last season — 8th most among NBA teams

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