- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on ABC
The Houston Rockets visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in San Francisco, CA, CA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Rockets vs Warriors Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 44-40 against the spread, while the Warriors are 43-40 against the spread.
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Rockets vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Houston Rockets | O | ||
| Golden State Warriors | U |
Warriors vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Warriors.
Warriors vs Rockets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 61.2% confidence.
Bet now on Warriors vs Rockets and all NBA games with BetMGM
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 52 of their last 83 games (+17.97 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 28 games (+17.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 51 of their last 83 games (+16.73 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 away games (+14.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 40 away games (+13.00 Units / 28% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 19 games (+14.75 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games (+13.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 63 games (+11.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 35 games (+11.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 73 games (+8.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 44-40 (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 53-31 against the Moneyline (-3.4 Units / -1.58% ROI)
- 44-39 against the Over for game total points (+1.1 Units / 1.19% ROI)
- 39-44 against the Under for game total points (-9.3 Units / -10.08% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 43-40 (-1.1 Units / -1.18% ROI).
- 50-35 against the Moneyline (-23.2 Units / -9.45% ROI)
- 42-43 against the Over for game total points (-5.3 Units / -5.67% ROI)
- 43-42 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -3.42% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 75 games (-45.70 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 70 games (-31.45 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 65 games (-21.40 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 73 games (-19.80 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 75 games (-19.62 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-21.95 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 69 games (-20.25 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 77 games (-16.68 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 51 games (-16.65 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 39 games (-15.70 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Rockets are winless (0-3) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .238
The Rockets were 11-34 (.244) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .339
The Rockets are 50-30 (.625) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .495
The Rockets are 36-13 (.735) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Warriors are 23-9 (.719) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .615
The Warriors were 12-5 (.706) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
The Warriors are 47-10 (.825) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .694
The Warriors are 10-1 (.909) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .753
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets are shooting 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Rockets have averaged 22.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,844 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
The Rockets have a TS% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have made 15.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2
The Warriors averaged 22% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,644 free throw attempts/7,515 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%
The Warriors have made 14.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0
The Warriors are shooting 43% (431/1,011) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,957 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Rockets have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (5,931 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Rockets have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,328 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Rockets have 689 steals this season — 10th most among NBA teams
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have 771 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams
The Warriors have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (768 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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