Rockets vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 5

• The Rockets are -3.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
• Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
• Watch the game on NBC | PEAC | TELE

The Houston Rockets visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm in San Francisco, CA.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Rockets vs Warriors Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 33-44 against the spread, while the Warriors are 34-43 against the spread.

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Rockets vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Warriors vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Sunday‘s game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Warriors.

Warriors vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 55.2% confidence.

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Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Houston Rockets have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.37 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.30 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 23 games (+12.20 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have covered the 2Q Spread in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.60 Units / 26% ROI)

Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 30 games at home (+14.75 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+13.10 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+12.73 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+12.55 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)

Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 33-44 (-15.35 Units / -18.13% ROI).

• 48-29 against the Moneyline (-22.25 Units / -7.54% ROI)
• 34-42 against the Over for game total points (-12.17 Units / -14.37% ROI)
• 42-34 against the Under for game total points (+4.6 Units / 5.43% ROI)

Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 34-43 (-13.3 Units / -15.7% ROI).

• 36-41 against the Moneyline (-19.4 Units / -11.36% ROI)
• 46-31 against the Over for game total points (+11.9 Units / 14.05% ROI)
• 31-46 against the Under for game total points (-19.6 Units / -23.14% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:

• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 45 games (-25.55 Units / -40% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 9 of their last 35 games (-20.85 Units / -52% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 30 games at home (-19.30 Units / -57% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 45 games at home (-19.15 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 30 games (-17.80 Units / -50% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:

• The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 away games (-34.20 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.05 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 45 games (-19.80 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-18.20 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only covered the Spread in 15 of their last 45 games (-18.00 Units / -36% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
• Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
• Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors
• Houston Rockets Offensive stats
• Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
• Houston Rockets Defensive stats
• Golden State Warriors Defensive stats

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Rockets are 6-1 (.857) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .396

The Rockets are 40-12 (.769) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647

The Rockets are 15-4 (.789) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .630

The Rockets are 26-2 (.929) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .781

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Warriors are 8-3 (.727) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Warriors are 27-20 (.574) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Warriors are 28-13 (.683) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .619

The Warriors are 24-22 (.522) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 22.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,699 rebounds/77 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.9

The Rockets have averaged 20.8 offensive rebounds per game (5,010 rebounds/241 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

The Rockets have averaged 16.9 second chance points per game (2,046 points/121 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Rockets have averaged 17.8 second chance points per game (2,832 points/159 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 15.5 second chance points per game (1,197 points/77 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Warriors have averaged 17.3 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/39 games) on the road this season — tied for highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

The Warriors have averaged 8.5 second chance points per game (2,054 points/241 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Warriors are shooting 35% from three (568/1,627) in the second half this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (456 blocks/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Rockets have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (446 blocks/77 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Rockets have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (8,664 rebounds/241 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Rockets have averaged 8.3 steals per game (1,991 steals/241 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,577 rebounds/77 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Warriors have averaged 8.7 steals per game (2,099 steals/241 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Warriors have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (1,097 blocks/241 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Warriors have averaged 10.3 steals per game (823 steals/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

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